In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader pricing reflects Eduardo Gomes (PL) as the consistent polling leader for first place across multiple June–August surveys, leaving a fragmented contest for second among several challengers. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position in recent data, often 20–35%, ahead of Gaguim (União) and lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão (PT). High undecided shares (frequently 20–30%) and the requirement that voters select two candidates sustain volatility, with limited recent shifts from campaign events or endorsements. Late polling movement or turnout differentials among undecided voters could still reorder the second slot before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Guimarães 49%
Gaguim 33.3%
Eduardo Gomes 8.3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 5%
$25,434 Vol.
$25,434 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
49%
Gaguim
33%
Eduardo Gomes
8%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
5%
Paulo Mourão
3%
Ronaldo Dimas
1%
Eli Borges
1%
Nilton Santos
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
<1%
Osvany Luz
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
<1%
Alexandre Guimarães 49%
Gaguim 33.3%
Eduardo Gomes 8.3%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 5%
$25,434 Vol.
$25,434 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Guimarães
$13,761 Vol.
49%
Gaguim
$2,837 Vol.
33%
Eduardo Gomes
$1,282 Vol.
8%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$386 Vol.
5%
Paulo Mourão
$4,410 Vol.
3%
Ronaldo Dimas
$323 Vol.
1%
Eli Borges
$470 Vol.
1%
Nilton Santos
$329 Vol.
<1%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$328 Vol.
<1%
Fábio Ribeiro
$282 Vol.
<1%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$345 Vol.
<1%
Osvany Luz
$408 Vol.
<1%
Professor Osvaldo
$274 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader pricing reflects Eduardo Gomes (PL) as the consistent polling leader for first place across multiple June–August surveys, leaving a fragmented contest for second among several challengers. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position in recent data, often 20–35%, ahead of Gaguim (União) and lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão (PT). High undecided shares (frequently 20–30%) and the requirement that voters select two candidates sustain volatility, with limited recent shifts from campaign events or endorsements. Late polling movement or turnout differentials among undecided voters could still reorder the second slot before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$25,434End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader pricing reflects Eduardo Gomes (PL) as the consistent polling leader for first place across multiple June–August surveys, leaving a fragmented contest for second among several challengers. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position in recent data, often 20–35%, ahead of Gaguim (União) and lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão (PT). High undecided shares (frequently 20–30%) and the requirement that voters select two candidates sustain volatility, with limited recent shifts from campaign events or endorsements. Late polling movement or turnout differentials among undecided voters could still reorder the second slot before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$25,434End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Tocantins Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader pricing reflects Eduardo Gomes (PL) as the consistent polling leader for first place across multiple June–August surveys, leaving a fragmented contest for second among several challengers. Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) holds the strongest position in recent data, often 20–35%, ahead of Gaguim (União) and lower-polling names such as Ronaldo Dimas, Vanderlei Luxemburgo, Eli Borges, and Paulo Mourão (PT). High undecided shares (frequently 20–30%) and the requirement that voters select two candidates sustain volatility, with limited recent shifts from campaign events or endorsements. Late polling movement or turnout differentials among undecided voters could still reorder the second slot before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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