The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s Senate election remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting recent polling that places Carlos Bolsonaro narrowly ahead of Carol de Toni and Esperidião Amin for the remaining seat. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party infrastructure, name recognition tied to his father’s national profile, and strong right-leaning support in the state, while de Toni leverages her record as a high-vote federal deputy and local conservative base. Amin, the sitting senator seeking re-election on the PP ticket, draws on established name recognition and cross-party alliances supporting the state governor. August surveys show the three candidates within the margin of error in combined vote scenarios, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout among undecided voters and late-campaign shifts ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSanta Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
Carlos Bolsonaro 50%
Carol de Toni 23%
Esperidião Amin 21%
Décio Lima <1%
$39,073 Vol.
$39,073 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
50%
Carol de Toni
28%
Esperidião Amin
21%
Décio Lima
1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
<1%
Carol
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
<1%
Lunelli
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
<1%
Marcos Dorval
<1%
Marlene Soccas
<1%
Carlos Bolsonaro 50%
Carol de Toni 23%
Esperidião Amin 21%
Décio Lima <1%
$39,073 Vol.
$39,073 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Bolsonaro
$11,824 Vol.
50%
Carol de Toni
$11,453 Vol.
28%
Esperidião Amin
$6,400 Vol.
21%
Décio Lima
$1,445 Vol.
1%
Joaninha de Oliveira
$942 Vol.
<1%
Carol
$990 Vol.
<1%
Jeferson da Rocha
$1,287 Vol.
<1%
Lunelli
$998 Vol.
<1%
Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter
$911 Vol.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$921 Vol.
<1%
Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado
$550 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dorval
$788 Vol.
<1%
Marlene Soccas
$565 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s Senate election remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting recent polling that places Carlos Bolsonaro narrowly ahead of Carol de Toni and Esperidião Amin for the remaining seat. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party infrastructure, name recognition tied to his father’s national profile, and strong right-leaning support in the state, while de Toni leverages her record as a high-vote federal deputy and local conservative base. Amin, the sitting senator seeking re-election on the PP ticket, draws on established name recognition and cross-party alliances supporting the state governor. August surveys show the three candidates within the margin of error in combined vote scenarios, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout among undecided voters and late-campaign shifts ahead of the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Volume
$39,073End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s Senate election remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting recent polling that places Carlos Bolsonaro narrowly ahead of Carol de Toni and Esperidião Amin for the remaining seat. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party infrastructure, name recognition tied to his father’s national profile, and strong right-leaning support in the state, while de Toni leverages her record as a high-vote federal deputy and local conservative base. Amin, the sitting senator seeking re-election on the PP ticket, draws on established name recognition and cross-party alliances supporting the state governor. August surveys show the three candidates within the margin of error in combined vote scenarios, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout among undecided voters and late-campaign shifts ahead of the October 4 ballot.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$39,073End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Santa Catarina’s Senate election remains tightly contested, with trader consensus reflecting recent polling that places Carlos Bolsonaro narrowly ahead of Carol de Toni and Esperidião Amin for the remaining seat. Bolsonaro benefits from PL party infrastructure, name recognition tied to his father’s national profile, and strong right-leaning support in the state, while de Toni leverages her record as a high-vote federal deputy and local conservative base. Amin, the sitting senator seeking re-election on the PP ticket, draws on established name recognition and cross-party alliances supporting the state governor. August surveys show the three candidates within the margin of error in combined vote scenarios, with outcomes likely to hinge on turnout among undecided voters and late-campaign shifts ahead of the October 4 ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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