Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–8 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, with 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities. The party’s support has remained relatively steady despite broader right-wing fragmentation, as voters weigh Itamar Ben-Gvir’s hardline security platform against competing lists including Religious Zionism, emerging right-wing entrants, and Likud’s own slate. Recent list-finalization moves, such as the addition of MK Tally Gotliv and public emphasis on Gaza emigration proposals, have reinforced Otzma’s distinct positioning but also highlight competition for the same voter base. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final turnout among nationalist voters and whether right-wing parties will consolidate or further split seats before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Otzma # of seats?
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
8-9 35%
6-7 31%
10+ 16%
4-5 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
10%
4-5
15%
6-7
35%
8-9
35%
10+
16%
8-9 35%
6-7 31%
10+ 16%
4-5 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$317 Vol.
10%
4-5
$0 Vol.
15%
6-7
$19 Vol.
35%
8-9
$0 Vol.
35%
10+
$0 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–8 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, with 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities. The party’s support has remained relatively steady despite broader right-wing fragmentation, as voters weigh Itamar Ben-Gvir’s hardline security platform against competing lists including Religious Zionism, emerging right-wing entrants, and Likud’s own slate. Recent list-finalization moves, such as the addition of MK Tally Gotliv and public emphasis on Gaza emigration proposals, have reinforced Otzma’s distinct positioning but also highlight competition for the same voter base. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final turnout among nationalist voters and whether right-wing parties will consolidate or further split seats before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$335End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–8 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, with 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities. The party’s support has remained relatively steady despite broader right-wing fragmentation, as voters weigh Itamar Ben-Gvir’s hardline security platform against competing lists including Religious Zionism, emerging right-wing entrants, and Likud’s own slate. Recent list-finalization moves, such as the addition of MK Tally Gotliv and public emphasis on Gaza emigration proposals, have reinforced Otzma’s distinct positioning but also highlight competition for the same voter base. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final turnout among nationalist voters and whether right-wing parties will consolidate or further split seats before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$335End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Otzma Yehudit in the 6–8 seat range ahead of Israel’s October 27 Knesset election, with 6–7 and 8–9 outcomes commanding the highest implied probabilities. The party’s support has remained relatively steady despite broader right-wing fragmentation, as voters weigh Itamar Ben-Gvir’s hardline security platform against competing lists including Religious Zionism, emerging right-wing entrants, and Likud’s own slate. Recent list-finalization moves, such as the addition of MK Tally Gotliv and public emphasis on Gaza emigration proposals, have reinforced Otzma’s distinct positioning but also highlight competition for the same voter base. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final turnout among nationalist voters and whether right-wing parties will consolidate or further split seats before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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