Yisrael Beiteinu’s projected seat total remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election because recent polls place the party between seven and ten mandates amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Avigdor Lieberman’s focus on universal conscription, including for Haredi communities, and consistent opposition to Netanyahu’s coalition sustain its base among secular and Russian-speaking voters while limiting broader gains. Recent additions such as MK Dan Illouz have not shifted the range, and Lieberman’s calls for opposition mergers to avoid wasted votes underscore the risk of threshold failures elsewhere. With no dominant late surge or major scandal altering trajectories, trader consensus reflects ongoing volatility in a multi-party system where small shifts in turnout or alliances could move the outcome across the 6–11 seat bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 41%
8-9 32%
10-11 29%
<6 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
15%
6-7
41%
8-9
32%
10-11
29%
12+
14%
6-7 41%
8-9 32%
10-11 29%
<6 15%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
15%
6-7
$0 Vol.
41%
8-9
$0 Vol.
32%
10-11
$0 Vol.
29%
12+
$50 Vol.
14%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yisrael Beiteinu’s projected seat total remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election because recent polls place the party between seven and ten mandates amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Avigdor Lieberman’s focus on universal conscription, including for Haredi communities, and consistent opposition to Netanyahu’s coalition sustain its base among secular and Russian-speaking voters while limiting broader gains. Recent additions such as MK Dan Illouz have not shifted the range, and Lieberman’s calls for opposition mergers to avoid wasted votes underscore the risk of threshold failures elsewhere. With no dominant late surge or major scandal altering trajectories, trader consensus reflects ongoing volatility in a multi-party system where small shifts in turnout or alliances could move the outcome across the 6–11 seat bands.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yisrael Beiteinu’s projected seat total remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election because recent polls place the party between seven and ten mandates amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Avigdor Lieberman’s focus on universal conscription, including for Haredi communities, and consistent opposition to Netanyahu’s coalition sustain its base among secular and Russian-speaking voters while limiting broader gains. Recent additions such as MK Dan Illouz have not shifted the range, and Lieberman’s calls for opposition mergers to avoid wasted votes underscore the risk of threshold failures elsewhere. With no dominant late surge or major scandal altering trajectories, trader consensus reflects ongoing volatility in a multi-party system where small shifts in turnout or alliances could move the outcome across the 6–11 seat bands.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yisrael Beiteinu’s projected seat total remains tightly contested ahead of Israel’s October 27, 2026, Knesset election because recent polls place the party between seven and ten mandates amid a fragmented opposition landscape. Avigdor Lieberman’s focus on universal conscription, including for Haredi communities, and consistent opposition to Netanyahu’s coalition sustain its base among secular and Russian-speaking voters while limiting broader gains. Recent additions such as MK Dan Illouz have not shifted the range, and Lieberman’s calls for opposition mergers to avoid wasted votes underscore the risk of threshold failures elsewhere. With no dominant late surge or major scandal altering trajectories, trader consensus reflects ongoing volatility in a multi-party system where small shifts in turnout or alliances could move the outcome across the 6–11 seat bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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