Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election, recently placing near or ahead of Likud at 22–25 seats in averages. Recent surveys show the party benefiting from voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and dissatisfaction with the governing coalition’s performance on security and governance. The spread of probabilities across the 24–27 seat range reflects polling volatility tied to ongoing security concerns, potential opposition consolidation, and undecided voters. Late-campaign events such as security developments, alliance adjustments, or turnout patterns among centrist and reservist blocs could narrow outcomes toward higher or lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
30+ 23%
24-25 18%
26-27 18%
22-23 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
6%
20-21
8%
22-23
12%
24-25
18%
26-27
18%
28-29
6%
30+
23%
30+ 23%
24-25 18%
26-27 18%
22-23 12%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$82 Vol.
6%
20-21
$198 Vol.
8%
22-23
$191 Vol.
12%
24-25
$149 Vol.
18%
26-27
$104 Vol.
18%
28-29
$82 Vol.
6%
30+
$874 Vol.
23%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election, recently placing near or ahead of Likud at 22–25 seats in averages. Recent surveys show the party benefiting from voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and dissatisfaction with the governing coalition’s performance on security and governance. The spread of probabilities across the 24–27 seat range reflects polling volatility tied to ongoing security concerns, potential opposition consolidation, and undecided voters. Late-campaign events such as security developments, alliance adjustments, or turnout patterns among centrist and reservist blocs could narrow outcomes toward higher or lower bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$1,679End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election, recently placing near or ahead of Likud at 22–25 seats in averages. Recent surveys show the party benefiting from voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and dissatisfaction with the governing coalition’s performance on security and governance. The spread of probabilities across the 24–27 seat range reflects polling volatility tied to ongoing security concerns, potential opposition consolidation, and undecided voters. Late-campaign events such as security developments, alliance adjustments, or turnout patterns among centrist and reservist blocs could narrow outcomes toward higher or lower bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$1,679End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party launched in September 2025 by former IDF chief Gadi Eisenkot, has risen steadily in polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election, recently placing near or ahead of Likud at 22–25 seats in averages. Recent surveys show the party benefiting from voter shifts away from Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid’s Together alliance and dissatisfaction with the governing coalition’s performance on security and governance. The spread of probabilities across the 24–27 seat range reflects polling volatility tied to ongoing security concerns, potential opposition consolidation, and undecided voters. Late-campaign events such as security developments, alliance adjustments, or turnout patterns among centrist and reservist blocs could narrow outcomes toward higher or lower bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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