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Sep 5, 2026

Breaking News

See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

1
icon for Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

8%
61%
2
icon for Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

36%
33%
3
icon for Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?

Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?

35%
31%
4
icon for Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?

76%
30%
5
icon for Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

24%
26%
6
icon for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

18%
22%
7
icon for Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

54%
20%
8
icon for Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

69%
20%
9
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?

32%
18%
10
icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?

34%
17%
11
icon for Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?

24%
16%
12
icon for Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?

41%
15%
13
icon for Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?

11%
15%
14
icon for Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

74%
14%
15
icon for Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

24%
13%
16
icon for Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?

Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?

46%
13%
17
icon for Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

11%
13%
18
icon for No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

78%
13%
19
icon for Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

82%
12%
20
icon for Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?

26%
10%
21
icon for Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?

Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?

33%
9%
22
icon for Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?

95%
9%
23
icon for Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

6%
7%
24
icon for Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?

37%
6%
25
icon for Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?

32%
6%