Sep 5, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?
8%
61%
2

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
36%
33%
3

Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
35%
31%
4

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
76%
30%
5


Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
24%
26%
6

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
18%
22%
7

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
54%
20%
8

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
69%
20%
9

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
32%
18%
10

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?
34%
17%
11

Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
24%
16%
12


Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
41%
15%
13

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $150B by December 31?
11%
15%
14

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
74%
14%
15

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
24%
13%
16

Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?
46%
13%
17

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
11%
13%
18

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
78%
13%
19

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
82%
12%
20

Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
26%
10%
21

Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?
33%
9%
22

Will Apyx launch a token by December 31, 2026?
95%
9%
23


Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
6%
7%
24

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?
37%
6%
25

Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?
32%
6%




