US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord outlines a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces to assume control in designated pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments from occupied southern areas while maintaining a security buffer until threats are removed. US officials framed it as an initial step toward sovereignty restoration and lasting security, with a new trilateral Military Coordination Group tasked with implementation. Hezbollah leaders rejected the deal outright, and subsequent progress hinges on Lebanese army capacity-building and measurable compliance benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. No higher-level diplomatic meetings have been confirmed since the signing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$346,920 Vol.
Oct 1, 2026
September 9
4%
September 11
6%
September 13
12%
September 15
39%
September 30
76%
$346,920 Vol.
September 9
$13,655 Vol.
4%
September 11
$5,523 Vol.
6%
September 13
$8,047 Vol.
12%
September 15
$60,932 Vol.
39%
September 30
$50,258 Vol.
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord outlines a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces to assume control in designated pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments from occupied southern areas while maintaining a security buffer until threats are removed. US officials framed it as an initial step toward sovereignty restoration and lasting security, with a new trilateral Military Coordination Group tasked with implementation. Hezbollah leaders rejected the deal outright, and subsequent progress hinges on Lebanese army capacity-building and measurable compliance benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. No higher-level diplomatic meetings have been confirmed since the signing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$346,920End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord outlines a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces to assume control in designated pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments from occupied southern areas while maintaining a security buffer until threats are removed. US officials framed it as an initial step toward sovereignty restoration and lasting security, with a new trilateral Military Coordination Group tasked with implementation. Hezbollah leaders rejected the deal outright, and subsequent progress hinges on Lebanese army capacity-building and measurable compliance benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. No higher-level diplomatic meetings have been confirmed since the signing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$346,920End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-mediated talks produced a trilateral framework agreement signed in Washington on June 26, 2026, after five rounds that began in April. The accord outlines a sequenced process for Lebanese Armed Forces to assume control in designated pilot zones, verified Hezbollah disarmament, and progressive Israeli redeployments from occupied southern areas while maintaining a security buffer until threats are removed. US officials framed it as an initial step toward sovereignty restoration and lasting security, with a new trilateral Military Coordination Group tasked with implementation. Hezbollah leaders rejected the deal outright, and subsequent progress hinges on Lebanese army capacity-building and measurable compliance benchmarks rather than fixed timelines. No higher-level diplomatic meetings have been confirmed since the signing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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