**US sanctions enforcement and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports continue to drive free-market USD/IRR depreciation, positioning the 2.2–2.5 million range as the leading outcome at end-September.** Recent intensification of US measures, including expanded designations on shadow fleets and intermediaries plus a naval blockade, has cut Iranian crude shipments to near-zero levels, slashing hard-currency inflows. This compounds high inflation near 70% and an economy projected to contract more than 5% this year. The unofficial rate has climbed from roughly 2.0 million in late August to around 2.2–2.25 million in early September, reflecting ongoing pressure on the rial. Central Bank interventions provide limited support but have not reversed the trend. With resolution just weeks away, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory of further weakening absent major diplomatic or policy shifts that could ease sanctions pressure or restore export revenues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.2 to 2.5M 64%
<2.2M 21%
2.5 to 2.8M 16%
2.8 to 3.1M 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
21%
2.2 to 2.5M
64%
2.5 to 2.8M
16%
2.8 to 3.1M
3%
3.1M+
2%
2.2 to 2.5M 64%
<2.2M 21%
2.5 to 2.8M 16%
2.8 to 3.1M 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<2.2M
$1,108 Vol.
21%
2.2 to 2.5M
$1,692 Vol.
64%
2.5 to 2.8M
$959 Vol.
16%
2.8 to 3.1M
$878 Vol.
3%
3.1M+
$517 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**US sanctions enforcement and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports continue to drive free-market USD/IRR depreciation, positioning the 2.2–2.5 million range as the leading outcome at end-September.**
Recent intensification of US measures, including expanded designations on shadow fleets and intermediaries plus a naval blockade, has cut Iranian crude shipments to near-zero levels, slashing hard-currency inflows. This compounds high inflation near 70% and an economy projected to contract more than 5% this year. The unofficial rate has climbed from roughly 2.0 million in late August to around 2.2–2.25 million in early September, reflecting ongoing pressure on the rial. Central Bank interventions provide limited support but have not reversed the trend. With resolution just weeks away, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory of further weakening absent major diplomatic or policy shifts that could ease sanctions pressure or restore export revenues.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$5,155End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**US sanctions enforcement and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports continue to drive free-market USD/IRR depreciation, positioning the 2.2–2.5 million range as the leading outcome at end-September.**
Recent intensification of US measures, including expanded designations on shadow fleets and intermediaries plus a naval blockade, has cut Iranian crude shipments to near-zero levels, slashing hard-currency inflows. This compounds high inflation near 70% and an economy projected to contract more than 5% this year. The unofficial rate has climbed from roughly 2.0 million in late August to around 2.2–2.25 million in early September, reflecting ongoing pressure on the rial. Central Bank interventions provide limited support but have not reversed the trend. With resolution just weeks away, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory of further weakening absent major diplomatic or policy shifts that could ease sanctions pressure or restore export revenues.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$5,155End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**US sanctions enforcement and sharply reduced Iranian oil exports continue to drive free-market USD/IRR depreciation, positioning the 2.2–2.5 million range as the leading outcome at end-September.** Recent intensification of US measures, including expanded designations on shadow fleets and intermediaries plus a naval blockade, has cut Iranian crude shipments to near-zero levels, slashing hard-currency inflows. This compounds high inflation near 70% and an economy projected to contract more than 5% this year. The unofficial rate has climbed from roughly 2.0 million in late August to around 2.2–2.25 million in early September, reflecting ongoing pressure on the rial. Central Bank interventions provide limited support but have not reversed the trend. With resolution just weeks away, trader consensus reflects the current trajectory of further weakening absent major diplomatic or policy shifts that could ease sanctions pressure or restore export revenues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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