Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, near 9–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the consolidated Zionist left. This range aligns with the market’s leading 8–9 and 10–11 outcomes as traders weigh consistent survey results against the fragmented opposition landscape, where competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limits further gains. The party’s July primaries and calls for broader anti-Netanyahu coordination have not produced a clear polling breakout, while the broader right-left bloc balance remains fluid. Candidate list submissions due September 8 and final campaign dynamics on turnout and alliances could still shift the tally within or outside the current 8–11 window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated10-11 31%
8-9 29%
<8 22%
12-13 20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<8
22%
8-9
29%
10-11
31%
12-13
20%
14+
16%
10-11 31%
8-9 29%
<8 22%
12-13 20%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<8
$2 Vol.
22%
8-9
$0 Vol.
29%
10-11
$10 Vol.
31%
12-13
$10 Vol.
20%
14+
$40 Vol.
16%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, near 9–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the consolidated Zionist left. This range aligns with the market’s leading 8–9 and 10–11 outcomes as traders weigh consistent survey results against the fragmented opposition landscape, where competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limits further gains. The party’s July primaries and calls for broader anti-Netanyahu coordination have not produced a clear polling breakout, while the broader right-left bloc balance remains fluid. Candidate list submissions due September 8 and final campaign dynamics on turnout and alliances could still shift the tally within or outside the current 8–11 window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Volume
$63End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, near 9–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the consolidated Zionist left. This range aligns with the market’s leading 8–9 and 10–11 outcomes as traders weigh consistent survey results against the fragmented opposition landscape, where competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limits further gains. The party’s July primaries and calls for broader anti-Netanyahu coordination have not produced a clear polling breakout, while the broader right-left bloc balance remains fluid. Candidate list submissions due September 8 and final campaign dynamics on turnout and alliances could still shift the tally within or outside the current 8–11 window.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$63End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place The Democrats, the Labor-Meretz alliance led by Yair Golan, near 9–10 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but modest support for the consolidated Zionist left. This range aligns with the market’s leading 8–9 and 10–11 outcomes as traders weigh consistent survey results against the fragmented opposition landscape, where competition from Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu limits further gains. The party’s July primaries and calls for broader anti-Netanyahu coordination have not produced a clear polling breakout, while the broader right-left bloc balance remains fluid. Candidate list submissions due September 8 and final campaign dynamics on turnout and alliances could still shift the tally within or outside the current 8–11 window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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