**No at 98.6% reflects the absence of any merger negotiations or announcements as the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline approaches for the October 27 Knesset election.** Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leaders finalized their independent primary slate in July and have instead formed a technical bloc with Zehut, allocating specific slots to Moshe Feiglin’s party while remaining open only to broader right-wing technical alliances. Likud has floated ideas such as reserved slots for Bezalel Smotrich or surplus-vote agreements—consistent with past patterns—but has not pursued or signaled a combined list. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s calls for right-wing consolidation have focused more on RZP–Otzma Yehudit coordination, which Itamar Ben-Gvir rejected. With lists effectively set and no last-minute talks reported, traders assign near-certainty to separate runs. A sudden pre-deadline deal remains the only narrow path to altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
1% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No at 98.6% reflects the absence of any merger negotiations or announcements as the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline approaches for the October 27 Knesset election.** Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leaders finalized their independent primary slate in July and have instead formed a technical bloc with Zehut, allocating specific slots to Moshe Feiglin’s party while remaining open only to broader right-wing technical alliances. Likud has floated ideas such as reserved slots for Bezalel Smotrich or surplus-vote agreements—consistent with past patterns—but has not pursued or signaled a combined list. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s calls for right-wing consolidation have focused more on RZP–Otzma Yehudit coordination, which Itamar Ben-Gvir rejected. With lists effectively set and no last-minute talks reported, traders assign near-certainty to separate runs. A sudden pre-deadline deal remains the only narrow path to altering the outcome.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$766End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No at 98.6% reflects the absence of any merger negotiations or announcements as the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline approaches for the October 27 Knesset election.** Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leaders finalized their independent primary slate in July and have instead formed a technical bloc with Zehut, allocating specific slots to Moshe Feiglin’s party while remaining open only to broader right-wing technical alliances. Likud has floated ideas such as reserved slots for Bezalel Smotrich or surplus-vote agreements—consistent with past patterns—but has not pursued or signaled a combined list. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s calls for right-wing consolidation have focused more on RZP–Otzma Yehudit coordination, which Itamar Ben-Gvir rejected. With lists effectively set and no last-minute talks reported, traders assign near-certainty to separate runs. A sudden pre-deadline deal remains the only narrow path to altering the outcome.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Likud and Religious Zionist Party contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Volume
$766End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No at 98.6% reflects the absence of any merger negotiations or announcements as the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline approaches for the October 27 Knesset election.** Religious Zionist Party (RZP) leaders finalized their independent primary slate in July and have instead formed a technical bloc with Zehut, allocating specific slots to Moshe Feiglin’s party while remaining open only to broader right-wing technical alliances. Likud has floated ideas such as reserved slots for Bezalel Smotrich or surplus-vote agreements—consistent with past patterns—but has not pursued or signaled a combined list. Prime Minister Netanyahu’s calls for right-wing consolidation have focused more on RZP–Otzma Yehudit coordination, which Itamar Ben-Gvir rejected. With lists effectively set and no last-minute talks reported, traders assign near-certainty to separate runs. A sudden pre-deadline deal remains the only narrow path to altering the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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