JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin Secretary of State after winning her party's August 11 primary with nearly all votes, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Jay Schroeder. Schroeder advanced from a competitive four-candidate Republican primary on the same date, defeating Nate Pollnow and others in an open-seat contest following incumbent Sarah Godlewski's decision to run for lieutenant governor instead. Traders assign Zamarripa the highest implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent Democratic performance in certain statewide races and her background as a Milwaukee alderperson and former state representative, while Schroeder's lower share aligns with the state's narrow Republican presidential margin in 2024 and the challenges of flipping the office. No major new polling or events have emerged since the primaries to shift these assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)
70%
Jay Schroeder (R)
41%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
JoCasta Zamarripa (D)
$47 Vol.
70%
Jay Schroeder (R)
$21 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin Secretary of State after winning her party's August 11 primary with nearly all votes, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Jay Schroeder. Schroeder advanced from a competitive four-candidate Republican primary on the same date, defeating Nate Pollnow and others in an open-seat contest following incumbent Sarah Godlewski's decision to run for lieutenant governor instead. Traders assign Zamarripa the highest implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent Democratic performance in certain statewide races and her background as a Milwaukee alderperson and former state representative, while Schroeder's lower share aligns with the state's narrow Republican presidential margin in 2024 and the challenges of flipping the office. No major new polling or events have emerged since the primaries to shift these assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Volume
$68End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin Secretary of State after winning her party's August 11 primary with nearly all votes, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Jay Schroeder. Schroeder advanced from a competitive four-candidate Republican primary on the same date, defeating Nate Pollnow and others in an open-seat contest following incumbent Sarah Godlewski's decision to run for lieutenant governor instead. Traders assign Zamarripa the highest implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent Democratic performance in certain statewide races and her background as a Milwaukee alderperson and former state representative, while Schroeder's lower share aligns with the state's narrow Republican presidential margin in 2024 and the challenges of flipping the office. No major new polling or events have emerged since the primaries to shift these assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$68End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...JoCasta Zamarripa secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin Secretary of State after winning her party's August 11 primary with nearly all votes, positioning her as the frontrunner in the November 3 general election against Republican Jay Schroeder. Schroeder advanced from a competitive four-candidate Republican primary on the same date, defeating Nate Pollnow and others in an open-seat contest following incumbent Sarah Godlewski's decision to run for lieutenant governor instead. Traders assign Zamarripa the highest implied probability, reflecting Wisconsin's recent Democratic performance in certain statewide races and her background as a Milwaukee alderperson and former state representative, while Schroeder's lower share aligns with the state's narrow Republican presidential margin in 2024 and the challenges of flipping the office. No major new polling or events have emerged since the primaries to shift these assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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