Incumbent Republican Dan Patrick secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March primary and now holds an 82.5 percent implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin, a state representative who won her runoff in May, sits at 18.5 percent amid Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and write-ins account for the balance of trader consensus. With roughly two months until the vote, recent polling shows Patrick maintaining a lead consistent with historical patterns in the state, where structural partisan lean and incumbency have shaped outcomes more than campaign developments to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Dan Patrick (R)
83%
Vikki Goodwin (D)
19%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Dan Patrick (R)
$325 Vol.
83%
Vikki Goodwin (D)
$273 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Dan Patrick secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March primary and now holds an 82.5 percent implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin, a state representative who won her runoff in May, sits at 18.5 percent amid Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and write-ins account for the balance of trader consensus. With roughly two months until the vote, recent polling shows Patrick maintaining a lead consistent with historical patterns in the state, where structural partisan lean and incumbency have shaped outcomes more than campaign developments to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
Volume
$598End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Republican Dan Patrick secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March primary and now holds an 82.5 percent implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin, a state representative who won her runoff in May, sits at 18.5 percent amid Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and write-ins account for the balance of trader consensus. With roughly two months until the vote, recent polling shows Patrick maintaining a lead consistent with historical patterns in the state, where structural partisan lean and incumbency have shaped outcomes more than campaign developments to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$598End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Dan Patrick secured his party's nomination with over 84 percent in the March primary and now holds an 82.5 percent implied probability in the November 3, 2026 general election. Democratic nominee Vikki Goodwin, a state representative who won her runoff in May, sits at 18.5 percent amid Texas's consistent Republican advantage in statewide contests. Minor-party candidates and write-ins account for the balance of trader consensus. With roughly two months until the vote, recent polling shows Patrick maintaining a lead consistent with historical patterns in the state, where structural partisan lean and incumbency have shaped outcomes more than campaign developments to date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions