Connecticut's 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont, who secured his party's nomination after defeating progressive challenger Josh Elliott in the August primary, against Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio. The race rates as solidly Democratic in forecasts, with Lamont leading by double digits in recent polling. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of moderate off-year turnout and low Democratic primary participation around 19 percent, leaves total ballots cast uncertain across the 1.0M–1.5M range. Trader consensus remains fragmented because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, early voting patterns, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could still alter final participation without changing the expected outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.3M-1.4M 25%
1M-1.1M 23%
1.1M-1.2M 14%
1.4M-1.5M 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1M
13%
1M-1.1M
23%
1.1M-1.2M
14%
1.2M-1.3M
9%
1.3M-1.4M
25%
1.4M-1.5M
14%
1.5M-1.6M
9%
1.6M+
6%
1.3M-1.4M 25%
1M-1.1M 23%
1.1M-1.2M 14%
1.4M-1.5M 14%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<1M
$164 Vol.
13%
1M-1.1M
$104 Vol.
23%
1.1M-1.2M
$124 Vol.
14%
1.2M-1.3M
$169 Vol.
9%
1.3M-1.4M
$144 Vol.
25%
1.4M-1.5M
$114 Vol.
14%
1.5M-1.6M
$64 Vol.
9%
1.6M+
$64 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Connecticut's 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont, who secured his party's nomination after defeating progressive challenger Josh Elliott in the August primary, against Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio. The race rates as solidly Democratic in forecasts, with Lamont leading by double digits in recent polling. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of moderate off-year turnout and low Democratic primary participation around 19 percent, leaves total ballots cast uncertain across the 1.0M–1.5M range. Trader consensus remains fragmented because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, early voting patterns, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could still alter final participation without changing the expected outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Volume
$947End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Connecticut's 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont, who secured his party's nomination after defeating progressive challenger Josh Elliott in the August primary, against Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio. The race rates as solidly Democratic in forecasts, with Lamont leading by double digits in recent polling. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of moderate off-year turnout and low Democratic primary participation around 19 percent, leaves total ballots cast uncertain across the 1.0M–1.5M range. Trader consensus remains fragmented because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, early voting patterns, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could still alter final participation without changing the expected outcome.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Connecticut, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$947End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Connecticut's 2026 gubernatorial general election on November 3 features incumbent Democrat Ned Lamont, who secured his party's nomination after defeating progressive challenger Josh Elliott in the August primary, against Republican state Sen. Ryan Fazio. The race rates as solidly Democratic in forecasts, with Lamont leading by double digits in recent polling. This dynamic, combined with the state's history of moderate off-year turnout and low Democratic primary participation around 19 percent, leaves total ballots cast uncertain across the 1.0M–1.5M range. Trader consensus remains fragmented because mobilization efforts by both campaigns, early voting patterns, and any late shifts in enthusiasm could still alter final participation without changing the expected outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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