Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.2M-4.35M 27.7%

4.35M-4.5M 21%

3.9M-4.05M 12.8%

4.65M-4.8M 12%

Polymarket
NEW

4.2M-4.35M 27.7%

4.35M-4.5M 21%

3.9M-4.05M 12.8%

4.65M-4.8M 12%

Polymarket
NEW

<3.9M

$1,899 Vol.

6%

3.9M-4.05M

$1,141 Vol.

13%

4.05M-4.2M

$2,236 Vol.

1%

4.2M-4.35M

$296 Vol.

28%

4.35M-4.5M

$1,561 Vol.

21%

4.5M-4.65M

$182 Vol.

4%

4.65M-4.8M

$167 Vol.

12%

4.8M-4.95M

$82 Vol.

5%

4.95M-5.1M

$192 Vol.

8%

5.1M+

$633 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown, rated a toss-up by forecasters and polling near statistical parity, anchors trader expectations for Ohio Senate turnout near 4.2–4.5 million votes. Primary data from May showed Democrats achieving stronger relative participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization, while persistent concerns over inflation, affordability, and economic conditions continue to sustain engagement across both parties. Generational splits, with older voters showing higher motivation and independents leaning competitive, plus ongoing voter outreach and roll maintenance efforts, keep projected totals clustered in the middle bins. Shifts in national economic indicators, late-cycle advertising intensity, or unexpected mobilization surges in key demographics could widen the distribution before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,389
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight contest between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown, rated a toss-up by forecasters and polling near statistical parity, anchors trader expectations for Ohio Senate turnout near 4.2–4.5 million votes. Primary data from May showed Democrats achieving stronger relative participation among unaffiliated voters alongside solid Republican base mobilization, while persistent concerns over inflation, affordability, and economic conditions continue to sustain engagement across both parties. Generational splits, with older voters showing higher motivation and independents leaning competitive, plus ongoing voter outreach and roll maintenance efforts, keep projected totals clustered in the middle bins. Shifts in national economic indicators, late-cycle advertising intensity, or unexpected mobilization surges in key demographics could widen the distribution before November 3.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,389
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?

30%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?

25%
icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?

29%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4.2M-4.35M" at 28%, followed by "4.35M-4.5M" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" is "4.2M-4.35M" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4.35M-4.5M" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.