The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.5M-2.65M 47%
2.35M-2.5M 45%
2.2M-2.35M 43%
2.65M-2.8M 40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
24%
2.2M-2.35M
43%
2.35M-2.5M
45%
2.5M-2.65M
47%
2.65M-2.8M
40%
2.8M-2.95M
27%
2.95M-3.1M
26%
3.1M+
36%
2.5M-2.65M 47%
2.35M-2.5M 45%
2.2M-2.35M 43%
2.65M-2.8M 40%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<2.2M
$29 Vol.
24%
2.2M-2.35M
$29 Vol.
43%
2.35M-2.5M
$29 Vol.
45%
2.5M-2.65M
$29 Vol.
47%
2.65M-2.8M
$29 Vol.
40%
2.8M-2.95M
$29 Vol.
27%
2.95M-3.1M
$29 Vol.
26%
3.1M+
$29 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Volume
$231End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$231End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched Polymarket bins for Massachusetts Senate turnout reflect uncertainty in a low-competition general election where Democratic incumbent Ed Markey holds a wide lead over Republican John Deaton in recent polling. A lopsided Democratic primary featuring Markey and Seth Moulton has produced limited enthusiasm, with Secretary of State William Galvin noting it will not drive unusually high participation. Factors such as early voting volumes, mail ballot return rates, and typical midterm drop-off in a safely Democratic state continue to shape trader assessments, with no major late developments yet separating the leading ranges around 2.2M–2.8M votes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
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