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icon for Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
Politics·Midterms

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

icon for Nevada Governor Election: Turnout
Politics·Midterms

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

1.05M-1.125M 27%

<900K 19%

975K-1.05M 18%

1.2M-1.275M 18%

Polymarket
NEW

1.05M-1.125M 27%

<900K 19%

975K-1.05M 18%

1.2M-1.275M 18%

Polymarket
NEW

<900K

$268 Vol.

19%

900K-975K

$143 Vol.

12%

975K-1.05M

$198 Vol.

18%

1.05M-1.125M

$103 Vol.

27%

1.125M-1.2M

$163 Vol.

12%

1.2M-1.275M

$179 Vol.

18%

1.275M-1.35M

$103 Vol.

1%

1.35M+

$115 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market reflects moderate expectations shaped by the absence of a U.S. Senate or presidential race on the November 3 ballot, which historically suppresses participation in the state.** The competitive matchup between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, alongside returning ballot measures on voter ID and abortion rights, supplies the main catalysts for mobilization. Primary turnout reached only about 20 percent statewide, with notably lower rates in Clark County compared to Washoe and rural areas, while recent voter roll maintenance has shifted nearly 400,000 records to inactive status and narrowed partisan registration gaps. Mail and early voting remain dominant, but economic concerns over housing affordability, energy demand from data centers, and prices could influence engagement levels. The clustered probabilities around 1.0–1.1 million votes capture uncertainty over whether these factors will produce average midterm participation or a modest lift from the high-profile state contests.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,271
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nevada's 2026 gubernatorial turnout market reflects moderate expectations shaped by the absence of a U.S. Senate or presidential race on the November 3 ballot, which historically suppresses participation in the state.** The competitive matchup between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford, alongside returning ballot measures on voter ID and abortion rights, supplies the main catalysts for mobilization. Primary turnout reached only about 20 percent statewide, with notably lower rates in Clark County compared to Washoe and rural areas, while recent voter roll maintenance has shifted nearly 400,000 records to inactive status and narrowed partisan registration gaps. Mail and early voting remain dominant, but economic concerns over housing affordability, energy demand from data centers, and prices could influence engagement levels. The clustered probabilities around 1.0–1.1 million votes capture uncertainty over whether these factors will produce average midterm participation or a modest lift from the high-profile state contests.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Nevada, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,271
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.05M-1.125M" at 27%, followed by "<900K" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" is "1.05M-1.125M" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<900K" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nevada Governor Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.