The open seat created by incumbent Brad Raffensperger’s decision to run for governor has produced a closely contested general election between Democratic nominee Penny Brown Reynolds and Republican nominee Tim Fleming, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities to each. Both candidates advanced through competitive primaries focused on election administration, voter access, and integrity measures, reflecting Georgia’s status as a battleground state where statewide races often hinge on turnout and swing-voter coalitions. Limited public polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the market tight. Potential separators include forthcoming debates, endorsements from legislative leaders, new voter surveys, or shifts in early-voting and absentee-ballot patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
51%
Tim Fleming (R)
48%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Penny Brown Reynolds (D)
$420 Vol.
51%
Tim Fleming (R)
$289 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The open seat created by incumbent Brad Raffensperger’s decision to run for governor has produced a closely contested general election between Democratic nominee Penny Brown Reynolds and Republican nominee Tim Fleming, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities to each. Both candidates advanced through competitive primaries focused on election administration, voter access, and integrity measures, reflecting Georgia’s status as a battleground state where statewide races often hinge on turnout and swing-voter coalitions. Limited public polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the market tight. Potential separators include forthcoming debates, endorsements from legislative leaders, new voter surveys, or shifts in early-voting and absentee-ballot patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volume
$709End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.The open seat created by incumbent Brad Raffensperger’s decision to run for governor has produced a closely contested general election between Democratic nominee Penny Brown Reynolds and Republican nominee Tim Fleming, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities to each. Both candidates advanced through competitive primaries focused on election administration, voter access, and integrity measures, reflecting Georgia’s status as a battleground state where statewide races often hinge on turnout and swing-voter coalitions. Limited public polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the market tight. Potential separators include forthcoming debates, endorsements from legislative leaders, new voter surveys, or shifts in early-voting and absentee-ballot patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$709End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open seat created by incumbent Brad Raffensperger’s decision to run for governor has produced a closely contested general election between Democratic nominee Penny Brown Reynolds and Republican nominee Tim Fleming, with traders assigning nearly identical probabilities to each. Both candidates advanced through competitive primaries focused on election administration, voter access, and integrity measures, reflecting Georgia’s status as a battleground state where statewide races often hinge on turnout and swing-voter coalitions. Limited public polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the market tight. Potential separators include forthcoming debates, endorsements from legislative leaders, new voter surveys, or shifts in early-voting and absentee-ballot patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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