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icon for Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee
Politics·Mayor

Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

icon for Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee
Politics·Mayor

Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee

Polymarket

$50,273 Vol.

Polymarket

$50,273 Vol.

David Morales

$31,553 Vol.

86%

Brett Smiley

$18,719 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.David Morales holds a commanding lead in the Providence Democratic mayoral primary market ahead of the September 9 vote, reflecting recent polling shifts and endorsements that have narrowed or reversed the incumbent's earlier edge. State Representative Morales, campaigning on rent stabilization, expanded affordable housing, and progressive priorities, secured backing from former Mayor Jorge Elorza and U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders while drawing support from teachers' unions and progressive groups. Incumbent Brett Smiley, who vetoed a rent-stabilization measure and emphasizes public safety gains and new housing units, has outspent his challenger significantly but faces a competitive race in a city where housing costs and neighborhood issues dominate voter concerns. The closely watched contest tests moderate versus left-leaning approaches within the Democratic coalition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,273
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.David Morales holds a commanding lead in the Providence Democratic mayoral primary market ahead of the September 9 vote, reflecting recent polling shifts and endorsements that have narrowed or reversed the incumbent's earlier edge. State Representative Morales, campaigning on rent stabilization, expanded affordable housing, and progressive priorities, secured backing from former Mayor Jorge Elorza and U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders while drawing support from teachers' unions and progressive groups. Incumbent Brett Smiley, who vetoed a rent-stabilization measure and emphasizes public safety gains and new housing units, has outspent his challenger significantly but faces a competitive race in a city where housing costs and neighborhood issues dominate voter concerns. The closely watched contest tests moderate versus left-leaning approaches within the Democratic coalition.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the Providence, Rhode Island Mayoral election. The Democratic primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,273
End Date
Sep 9, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 9:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "David Morales" at 86%, followed by "Brett Smiley" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" has generated $50.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" is "David Morales" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brett Smiley" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Providence, RI Democratic Mayoral Nominee" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.