Incumbent Keith Ellison holds the strongest position in the Minnesota attorney general race due to his two terms in office, easy Democratic primary win, and the DFL’s long dominance of the seat since the 1960s. Republican nominee Ronald J. Schutz, a veteran trial attorney unopposed in his primary, has focused attacks on fraud enforcement and public safety record, themes that gained traction in a late-August KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showing the candidates tied at 43 percent. Traders appear to weigh Ellison’s incumbency advantage, fundraising, and union support more heavily than the narrow polling gap and Republican messaging on accountability, keeping his implied probability well above Schutz’s. The November 3 general election remains two months away with potential for further shifts from campaign spending or late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Keith Ellison (D)
81%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)
21%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Keith Ellison (D)
$142 Vol.
81%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)
$29 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Keith Ellison holds the strongest position in the Minnesota attorney general race due to his two terms in office, easy Democratic primary win, and the DFL’s long dominance of the seat since the 1960s. Republican nominee Ronald J. Schutz, a veteran trial attorney unopposed in his primary, has focused attacks on fraud enforcement and public safety record, themes that gained traction in a late-August KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showing the candidates tied at 43 percent. Traders appear to weigh Ellison’s incumbency advantage, fundraising, and union support more heavily than the narrow polling gap and Republican messaging on accountability, keeping his implied probability well above Schutz’s. The November 3 general election remains two months away with potential for further shifts from campaign spending or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$171End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Keith Ellison holds the strongest position in the Minnesota attorney general race due to his two terms in office, easy Democratic primary win, and the DFL’s long dominance of the seat since the 1960s. Republican nominee Ronald J. Schutz, a veteran trial attorney unopposed in his primary, has focused attacks on fraud enforcement and public safety record, themes that gained traction in a late-August KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showing the candidates tied at 43 percent. Traders appear to weigh Ellison’s incumbency advantage, fundraising, and union support more heavily than the narrow polling gap and Republican messaging on accountability, keeping his implied probability well above Schutz’s. The November 3 general election remains two months away with potential for further shifts from campaign spending or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$171End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keith Ellison holds the strongest position in the Minnesota attorney general race due to his two terms in office, easy Democratic primary win, and the DFL’s long dominance of the seat since the 1960s. Republican nominee Ronald J. Schutz, a veteran trial attorney unopposed in his primary, has focused attacks on fraud enforcement and public safety record, themes that gained traction in a late-August KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showing the candidates tied at 43 percent. Traders appear to weigh Ellison’s incumbency advantage, fundraising, and union support more heavily than the narrow polling gap and Republican messaging on accountability, keeping his implied probability well above Schutz’s. The November 3 general election remains two months away with potential for further shifts from campaign spending or late developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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