Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Arizona Attorney General Election Winner
Elections·Midterms

Arizona Attorney General Election Winner

icon for Arizona Attorney General Election Winner
Elections·Midterms

Arizona Attorney General Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Kris Mayes (D)

Kris Mayes (D)

$433 Vol.

70%

icon for Warren Petersen (R)

Warren Petersen (R)

$63 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes holds the strongest position in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, with trader consensus reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who advanced unopposed through the July primary. Recent August polling shows her leading Republican nominee Warren Petersen by margins of 4 to 8 points among likely voters, consistent with her established name recognition and performance in a state where down-ballot Democratic candidates have shown resilience. Petersen secured the Republican nomination by defeating Rodney Glassman in a competitive July primary, but the general election matchup remains closely contested given high undecided shares and Arizona’s partisan registration trends. No major campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and late-cycle momentum in this statewide contest.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$495
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Kris Mayes holds the strongest position in the November 2026 Arizona attorney general race, with trader consensus reflecting her status as the Democratic incumbent who advanced unopposed through the July primary. Recent August polling shows her leading Republican nominee Warren Petersen by margins of 4 to 8 points among likely voters, consistent with her established name recognition and performance in a state where down-ballot Democratic candidates have shown resilience. Petersen secured the Republican nomination by defeating Rodney Glassman in a competitive July primary, but the general election matchup remains closely contested given high undecided shares and Arizona’s partisan registration trends. No major campaign developments have shifted the race significantly in the past month, leaving the outcome dependent on turnout and late-cycle momentum in this statewide contest.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$495
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Attorney General election?

76%
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?

81%
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election?

75%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Attorney General Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kris Mayes (D)" at 70%, followed by "Warren Petersen (R)" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Arizona Attorney General Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Arizona Attorney General Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Attorney General Election Winner" is "Kris Mayes (D)" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Warren Petersen (R)" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Attorney General Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.