Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

icon for Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner
Politics·Midterms

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Beau Bayh (D)

Beau Bayh (D)

$42 Vol.

56%

icon for Max Engling (R)

Max Engling (R)

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Beau Bayh leads trader consensus at 55.5% in the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State race due to his name recognition from a prominent Democratic political family, strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, and positioning as a fresh alternative amid Republican internal issues. Max Engling secured the GOP nomination at the June convention after defeating incumbent Diego Morales, backed by figures like Sen. Jim Banks, but trails at 27% amid a fragmented field that includes former Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard on the Lincoln Party line and Libertarian Lauri Shillings. Recent August debates highlighted contrasts on voting rules and office oversight, while Ballard's substantial independent fundraising and ballot access have introduced vote-splitting dynamics that keep probabilities tight. With the November 3 general election two months away, the multi-candidate contest and historical Republican dominance of the office continue to shape assessments of separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$42
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Beau Bayh leads trader consensus at 55.5% in the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State race due to his name recognition from a prominent Democratic political family, strong fundraising exceeding $2 million, and positioning as a fresh alternative amid Republican internal issues. Max Engling secured the GOP nomination at the June convention after defeating incumbent Diego Morales, backed by figures like Sen. Jim Banks, but trails at 27% amid a fragmented field that includes former Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard on the Lincoln Party line and Libertarian Lauri Shillings. Recent August debates highlighted contrasts on voting rules and office oversight, while Ballard's substantial independent fundraising and ballot access have introduced vote-splitting dynamics that keep probabilities tight. With the November 3 general election two months away, the multi-candidate contest and historical Republican dominance of the office continue to shape assessments of separation among contenders.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$42
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 1:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Secretary of State election?

65%
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?

44%
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State election?

70%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beau Bayh (D)" at 56%, followed by "Max Engling (R)" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner" is "Beau Bayh (D)" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Max Engling (R)" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.