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icon for Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout

700K-750K 54%

750K-800K 35%

800K-850K 13%

850K-900K 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

700K-750K 54%

750K-800K 35%

800K-850K 13%

850K-900K 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

<650K

$140 Vol.

2%

650K-700K

$136 Vol.

2%

700K-750K

$937 Vol.

54%

750K-800K

$1,184 Vol.

35%

800K-850K

$204 Vol.

13%

850K-900K

$183 Vol.

3%

900K+

$1,295 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 700K-750K ballots cast in Nebraska’s November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, reflecting historical midterm baselines and the current competitive environment.** Nebraska recorded 682,716 votes in the 2022 midterm and roughly 934,000–965,000 in the 2024 presidential contest. With approximately 1.26 million active registered voters (heavily Republican), a 2026 figure in the low-to-mid 700,000s aligns with typical off-year participation adjusted upward by the close Ricketts-Osborn matchup. The May primary saw only 28.5% turnout, below 2022 levels, while the July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee to consolidate support behind independent Dan Osborn and the early September debate have heightened visibility without evidence of unusually high mobilization. These factors position the 700K-750K and 750K-800K ranges as the dominant outcomes under current conditions.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,079
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Trader consensus centers on 700K-750K ballots cast in Nebraska’s November 3, 2026 U.S. Senate election, reflecting historical midterm baselines and the current competitive environment.** Nebraska recorded 682,716 votes in the 2022 midterm and roughly 934,000–965,000 in the 2024 presidential contest. With approximately 1.26 million active registered voters (heavily Republican), a 2026 figure in the low-to-mid 700,000s aligns with typical off-year participation adjusted upward by the close Ricketts-Osborn matchup. The May primary saw only 28.5% turnout, below 2022 levels, while the July withdrawal of the Democratic nominee to consolidate support behind independent Dan Osborn and the early September debate have heightened visibility without evidence of unusually high mobilization. These factors position the 700K-750K and 750K-800K ranges as the dominant outcomes under current conditions.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,079
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:12 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "700K-750K" at 54%, followed by "750K-800K" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout" is "700K-750K" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "750K-800K" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.