The solidly Republican nature of the Wyoming Senate race, following Harriet Hageman’s decisive August primary win over challengers and Democrat James Byrd’s nomination, has produced limited overall competitiveness that shapes current turnout expectations. With the seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters and Democrats historically posting low participation in the state, traders see little impetus for elevated mobilization beyond standard midterm patterns. Historical general election turnout in Wyoming midterms has typically ranged near 200,000 ballots amid rural voter variability and lower presidential-year enthusiasm, while the absence of recent general election polls or major campaign developments leaves room for modest shifts from early voting trends or Election Day weather.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated190K-210K 42%
170K-190K 25%
210K-230K 25%
250K+ 6%
<150K
3%
150K-170K
5%
170K-190K
25%
190K-210K
42%
210K-230K
25%
230K-250K
2%
250K+
6%
190K-210K 42%
170K-190K 25%
210K-230K 25%
250K+ 6%
<150K
3%
150K-170K
5%
170K-190K
25%
190K-210K
42%
210K-230K
25%
230K-250K
2%
250K+
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Wyoming, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The solidly Republican nature of the Wyoming Senate race, following Harriet Hageman’s decisive August primary win over challengers and Democrat James Byrd’s nomination, has produced limited overall competitiveness that shapes current turnout expectations. With the seat rated safe Republican by multiple forecasters and Democrats historically posting low participation in the state, traders see little impetus for elevated mobilization beyond standard midterm patterns. Historical general election turnout in Wyoming midterms has typically ranged near 200,000 ballots amid rural voter variability and lower presidential-year enthusiasm, while the absence of recent general election polls or major campaign developments leaves room for modest shifts from early voting trends or Election Day weather.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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