Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 20s to low 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The fragmented field, substantial undecided voters, and regional splits between Manaus and the interior sustain tight competition and open paths to a October 25 runoff. Aziz benefits from prior gubernatorial experience and established name recognition, while Cidade and Maria do Carmo consolidate different voter blocs; Almeida faces higher rejection in some measures. Trader pricing aligns with these patterns, treating the outcome as competitive until alliances, turnout in the capital, and late-campaign shifts clarify the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOmar Aziz 49%
Professora Maria do Carmo 28%
Roberto Cidade 20.8%
Isael Munduruku 4.0%
$21,707 Vol.
$21,707 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
49%
Professora Maria do Carmo
29%
Roberto Cidade
21%
Isael Munduruku
4%
David Almeida
2%
Cabo Daciolo
2%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
2%
Omar Aziz 49%
Professora Maria do Carmo 28%
Roberto Cidade 20.8%
Isael Munduruku 4.0%
$21,707 Vol.
$21,707 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Omar Aziz
$7,325 Vol.
49%
Professora Maria do Carmo
$4,931 Vol.
29%
Roberto Cidade
$3,766 Vol.
21%
Isael Munduruku
$1,427 Vol.
4%
David Almeida
$1,542 Vol.
2%
Cabo Daciolo
$1,195 Vol.
2%
Gilberto Vasconcelos
$1,520 Vol.
2%
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 20s to low 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The fragmented field, substantial undecided voters, and regional splits between Manaus and the interior sustain tight competition and open paths to a October 25 runoff. Aziz benefits from prior gubernatorial experience and established name recognition, while Cidade and Maria do Carmo consolidate different voter blocs; Almeida faces higher rejection in some measures. Trader pricing aligns with these patterns, treating the outcome as competitive until alliances, turnout in the capital, and late-campaign shifts clarify the field.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET
Volume
$21,707End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 20s to low 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The fragmented field, substantial undecided voters, and regional splits between Manaus and the interior sustain tight competition and open paths to a October 25 runoff. Aziz benefits from prior gubernatorial experience and established name recognition, while Cidade and Maria do Carmo consolidate different voter blocs; Almeida faces higher rejection in some measures. Trader pricing aligns with these patterns, treating the outcome as competitive until alliances, turnout in the capital, and late-campaign shifts clarify the field.
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$21,707End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Omar Aziz (PSD) holds a modest lead in recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote, with support in the high 20s to low 30s percent range across multiple surveys, ahead of Roberto Cidade (União), Professora Maria do Carmo (PL), and David Almeida (Avante). The fragmented field, substantial undecided voters, and regional splits between Manaus and the interior sustain tight competition and open paths to a October 25 runoff. Aziz benefits from prior gubernatorial experience and established name recognition, while Cidade and Maria do Carmo consolidate different voter blocs; Almeida faces higher rejection in some measures. Trader pricing aligns with these patterns, treating the outcome as competitive until alliances, turnout in the capital, and late-campaign shifts clarify the field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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