The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to a fragmented field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4, where voters select two names. Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Camelí (PP) and Márcio Bittar (PL) trading narrow leads or statistical ties, with Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) within striking distance. Camelí’s resignation as governor and ongoing electoral court challenges over a prior conviction have introduced uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds for him. Established name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns sustain balanced implied probabilities among the frontrunners with limited separation as the official campaign period advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 48%
Gladson Camelí 24.8%
Mara Rocha 17.0%
Jorge Viana 3.3%
$28,751 Vol.
$28,751 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
48%
Gladson Camelí
25%
Mara Rocha
17%
Jorge Viana
3%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Petecão
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Marcio Bittar 48%
Gladson Camelí 24.8%
Mara Rocha 17.0%
Jorge Viana 3.3%
$28,751 Vol.
$28,751 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$10,514 Vol.
48%
Gladson Camelí
$8,903 Vol.
25%
Mara Rocha
$4,563 Vol.
17%
Jorge Viana
$1,423 Vol.
3%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$663 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$767 Vol.
<1%
Petecão
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$756 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to a fragmented field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4, where voters select two names. Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Camelí (PP) and Márcio Bittar (PL) trading narrow leads or statistical ties, with Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) within striking distance. Camelí’s resignation as governor and ongoing electoral court challenges over a prior conviction have introduced uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds for him. Established name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns sustain balanced implied probabilities among the frontrunners with limited separation as the official campaign period advances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ET
Volume
$28,751End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to a fragmented field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4, where voters select two names. Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Camelí (PP) and Márcio Bittar (PL) trading narrow leads or statistical ties, with Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) within striking distance. Camelí’s resignation as governor and ongoing electoral court challenges over a prior conviction have introduced uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds for him. Established name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns sustain balanced implied probabilities among the frontrunners with limited separation as the official campaign period advances.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$28,751End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre Senate race for first place remains tightly contested due to a fragmented field of eight candidates vying for two seats on October 4, where voters select two names. Recent polling from Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows Gladson Camelí (PP) and Márcio Bittar (PL) trading narrow leads or statistical ties, with Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) within striking distance. Camelí’s resignation as governor and ongoing electoral court challenges over a prior conviction have introduced uncertainty that traders appear to price into lower odds for him. Established name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns sustain balanced implied probabilities among the frontrunners with limited separation as the official campaign period advances.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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