Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Amazonas Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, where voters select two senators in a single round. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas (early September) and earlier surveys from Quaest and others, show Braga leading first-preference intentions, often by double digits over Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), with Plinio Valério (PSDB) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) trailing further. Braga benefits from incumbency, established name recognition across the interior, and a broad coalition, while Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus. High undecided rates persist in spontaneous polls, but stimulated scenarios reinforce the frontrunner dynamic. Minor candidates register negligible support, aligning with market pricing that reflects polling trends and limited late shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEduardo Braga 72%
Capitão Alberto Neto 14.5%
Plinio Valério 5.6%
Wilson Lima 3.0%
$34,875 Vol.
$34,875 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
72%
Capitão Alberto Neto
14%
Plinio Valério
6%
Wilson Lima
3%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 72%
Capitão Alberto Neto 14.5%
Plinio Valério 5.6%
Wilson Lima 3.0%
$34,875 Vol.
$34,875 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$17,973 Vol.
72%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,357 Vol.
14%
Plinio Valério
$3,342 Vol.
6%
Wilson Lima
$3,361 Vol.
3%
Dailson Corrêa
$590 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Amazonas Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, where voters select two senators in a single round. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas (early September) and earlier surveys from Quaest and others, show Braga leading first-preference intentions, often by double digits over Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), with Plinio Valério (PSDB) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) trailing further. Braga benefits from incumbency, established name recognition across the interior, and a broad coalition, while Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus. High undecided rates persist in spontaneous polls, but stimulated scenarios reinforce the frontrunner dynamic. Minor candidates register negligible support, aligning with market pricing that reflects polling trends and limited late shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Volume
$34,875End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Amazonas Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, where voters select two senators in a single round. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas (early September) and earlier surveys from Quaest and others, show Braga leading first-preference intentions, often by double digits over Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), with Plinio Valério (PSDB) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) trailing further. Braga benefits from incumbency, established name recognition across the interior, and a broad coalition, while Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus. High undecided rates persist in spontaneous polls, but stimulated scenarios reinforce the frontrunner dynamic. Minor candidates register negligible support, aligning with market pricing that reflects polling trends and limited late shifts.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,875End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds a commanding position in the Amazonas Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, where voters select two senators in a single round. Multiple recent polls, including Paraná Pesquisas (early September) and earlier surveys from Quaest and others, show Braga leading first-preference intentions, often by double digits over Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), with Plinio Valério (PSDB) and Wilson Lima (União Brasil) trailing further. Braga benefits from incumbency, established name recognition across the interior, and a broad coalition, while Alberto Neto draws stronger support in Manaus. High undecided rates persist in spontaneous polls, but stimulated scenarios reinforce the frontrunner dynamic. Minor candidates register negligible support, aligning with market pricing that reflects polling trends and limited late shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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