Recent polling from early September 2026 shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Alberto Neto holds the strongest position in most surveys for the remaining vacancy, benefiting from consistent support in both Manaus and the interior. Wilson Lima faces elevated rejection levels that limit upside, while Plínio Valério trails further back. The October 4 election timeline and undecided voter share keep the second-place outcome sensitive to regional turnout shifts, campaign momentum, and any late consolidations among smaller candidates. Trader consensus reflects these polling patterns without assigning certainty to any single contender.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 60%
Eduardo Braga 22.7%
Wilson Lima 13.4%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$16,376 Vol.
$16,376 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
60%
Eduardo Braga
23%
Wilson Lima
13%
Plinio Valério
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 60%
Eduardo Braga 22.7%
Wilson Lima 13.4%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
$16,376 Vol.
$16,376 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,248 Vol.
60%
Eduardo Braga
$2,881 Vol.
23%
Wilson Lima
$3,748 Vol.
13%
Plinio Valério
$610 Vol.
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$734 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$474 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$746 Vol.
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
$472 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$462 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September 2026 shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Alberto Neto holds the strongest position in most surveys for the remaining vacancy, benefiting from consistent support in both Manaus and the interior. Wilson Lima faces elevated rejection levels that limit upside, while Plínio Valério trails further back. The October 4 election timeline and undecided voter share keep the second-place outcome sensitive to regional turnout shifts, campaign momentum, and any late consolidations among smaller candidates. Trader consensus reflects these polling patterns without assigning certainty to any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$16,376End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from early September 2026 shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Alberto Neto holds the strongest position in most surveys for the remaining vacancy, benefiting from consistent support in both Manaus and the interior. Wilson Lima faces elevated rejection levels that limit upside, while Plínio Valério trails further back. The October 4 election timeline and undecided voter share keep the second-place outcome sensitive to regional turnout shifts, campaign momentum, and any late consolidations among smaller candidates. Trader consensus reflects these polling patterns without assigning certainty to any single contender.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,376End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from early September 2026 shows Eduardo Braga maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place fragmented among Capitão Alberto Neto, Wilson Lima, and Plínio Valério. Alberto Neto holds the strongest position in most surveys for the remaining vacancy, benefiting from consistent support in both Manaus and the interior. Wilson Lima faces elevated rejection levels that limit upside, while Plínio Valério trails further back. The October 4 election timeline and undecided voter share keep the second-place outcome sensitive to regional turnout shifts, campaign momentum, and any late consolidations among smaller candidates. Trader consensus reflects these polling patterns without assigning certainty to any single contender.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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