Recent polling in the Pará Senate race shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented. Latest surveys from Quaest and Atlas place Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) narrowly ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT), often within margins of error amid 20-25% undecided voters. Party conventions, alliances with state and federal figures, and the dual-vote system have kept the field competitive, with no single challenger consolidating support. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these trends, where shifts in undecided voters or late campaign momentum could alter second-place positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 46%
Zequinha Marinho 28%
Celso Sabino 18%
Helder 4.6%
$23,821 Vol.
$23,821 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
46%
Zequinha Marinho
28%
Celso Sabino
18%
Helder
5%
Chicão
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Conti
2%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Breno Guimarães
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 46%
Zequinha Marinho 28%
Celso Sabino 18%
Helder 4.6%
$23,821 Vol.
$23,821 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,106 Vol.
46%
Zequinha Marinho
$6,732 Vol.
28%
Celso Sabino
$480 Vol.
18%
Helder
$1,525 Vol.
5%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
2%
Conti
$272 Vol.
2%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$261 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Pará Senate race shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented. Latest surveys from Quaest and Atlas place Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) narrowly ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT), often within margins of error amid 20-25% undecided voters. Party conventions, alliances with state and federal figures, and the dual-vote system have kept the field competitive, with no single challenger consolidating support. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these trends, where shifts in undecided voters or late campaign momentum could alter second-place positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$23,821End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Pará Senate race shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented. Latest surveys from Quaest and Atlas place Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) narrowly ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT), often within margins of error amid 20-25% undecided voters. Party conventions, alliances with state and federal figures, and the dual-vote system have kept the field competitive, with no single challenger consolidating support. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these trends, where shifts in undecided voters or late campaign momentum could alter second-place positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,821End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Pará Senate race shows Helder Barbalho (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one of the two seats up for election on October 4, while the contest for second place remains fragmented. Latest surveys from Quaest and Atlas place Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) narrowly ahead of Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT), often within margins of error amid 20-25% undecided voters. Party conventions, alliances with state and federal figures, and the dual-vote system have kept the field competitive, with no single challenger consolidating support. Trader consensus reflected in current prices aligns with these trends, where shifts in undecided voters or late campaign momentum could alter second-place positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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