Recent polling from late August shows Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Teresa Surita (MDB) clustered within a few points for the two Senate seats in Roraima, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back amid 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Voters cast two ballots on October 4, 2026, in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates after some registrations were deferred by electoral courts. This structure, combined with limited recent surveys and ongoing alliance negotiations, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small changes in turnout or undecided consolidation can reorder finishers. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the potential for last-minute shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNicoletti 48.6%
Helena da Asatur 27.7%
Teresa Surita 27%
Helio Bolsonaro 2.1%
$60,781 Vol.
$60,781 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
49%
Helena da Asatur
28%
Teresa Surita
27%
Helio Bolsonaro
2%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 48.6%
Helena da Asatur 27.7%
Teresa Surita 27%
Helio Bolsonaro 2.1%
$60,781 Vol.
$60,781 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$10,152 Vol.
49%
Helena da Asatur
$4,657 Vol.
28%
Teresa Surita
$18,347 Vol.
27%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,817 Vol.
2%
Pastor Isamar
$952 Vol.
<1%
Chico Rodrigues
$13,268 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$763 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Teresa Surita (MDB) clustered within a few points for the two Senate seats in Roraima, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back amid 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Voters cast two ballots on October 4, 2026, in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates after some registrations were deferred by electoral courts. This structure, combined with limited recent surveys and ongoing alliance negotiations, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small changes in turnout or undecided consolidation can reorder finishers. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the potential for last-minute shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Volume
$60,781End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August shows Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Teresa Surita (MDB) clustered within a few points for the two Senate seats in Roraima, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back amid 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Voters cast two ballots on October 4, 2026, in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates after some registrations were deferred by electoral courts. This structure, combined with limited recent surveys and ongoing alliance negotiations, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small changes in turnout or undecided consolidation can reorder finishers. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the potential for last-minute shifts before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60,781End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from late August shows Nicoletti (PL), Helena da Asatur (PSD), and Teresa Surita (MDB) clustered within a few points for the two Senate seats in Roraima, with Chico Rodrigues (PSB) and Hélio Bolsonaro (PL) further back amid 67% undecided in spontaneous responses. Voters cast two ballots on October 4, 2026, in a fragmented field of 13 registered candidates after some registrations were deferred by electoral courts. This structure, combined with limited recent surveys and ongoing alliance negotiations, keeps second-place probabilities tightly contested as small changes in turnout or undecided consolidation can reorder finishers. Trader consensus reflects these narrow polling margins and the potential for last-minute shifts before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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