Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading position in the Roraima Senate race at 60% implied probability for first place, reflecting her strong name recognition from five terms as Boa Vista mayor and consistent polling edge. A late-August Quaest survey showed her at 19-26% for the top seat, ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti (PL) at 17-20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16-19%, with incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%. The October 4 election selects the two highest vote-getters for eight-year terms amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates, where alliances, turnout among undecided voters (often exceeding 60% in spontaneous polls), and regional priorities like infrastructure and public services shape outcomes. Lower odds for remaining contenders align with their limited survey support and narrower bases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTeresa Surita 61%
Nicoletti 33.6%
Helena da Asatur 6.8%
Chico Rodrigues 2.9%
$50,680 Vol.
$50,680 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
61%
Nicoletti
34%
Helena da Asatur
7%
Chico Rodrigues
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Teresa Surita 61%
Nicoletti 33.6%
Helena da Asatur 6.8%
Chico Rodrigues 2.9%
$50,680 Vol.
$50,680 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Teresa Surita
$21,424 Vol.
61%
Nicoletti
$10,900 Vol.
34%
Helena da Asatur
$3,012 Vol.
7%
Chico Rodrigues
$1,533 Vol.
3%
Helio Bolsonaro
$8,488 Vol.
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$457 Vol.
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$687 Vol.
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$794 Vol.
<1%
Mario Rocha
$702 Vol.
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$900 Vol.
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$616 Vol.
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$692 Vol.
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$476 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading position in the Roraima Senate race at 60% implied probability for first place, reflecting her strong name recognition from five terms as Boa Vista mayor and consistent polling edge. A late-August Quaest survey showed her at 19-26% for the top seat, ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti (PL) at 17-20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16-19%, with incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%. The October 4 election selects the two highest vote-getters for eight-year terms amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates, where alliances, turnout among undecided voters (often exceeding 60% in spontaneous polls), and regional priorities like infrastructure and public services shape outcomes. Lower odds for remaining contenders align with their limited survey support and narrower bases.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$50,680End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading position in the Roraima Senate race at 60% implied probability for first place, reflecting her strong name recognition from five terms as Boa Vista mayor and consistent polling edge. A late-August Quaest survey showed her at 19-26% for the top seat, ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti (PL) at 17-20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16-19%, with incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%. The October 4 election selects the two highest vote-getters for eight-year terms amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates, where alliances, turnout among undecided voters (often exceeding 60% in spontaneous polls), and regional priorities like infrastructure and public services shape outcomes. Lower odds for remaining contenders align with their limited survey support and narrower bases.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$50,680End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Teresa Surita (MDB) holds the leading position in the Roraima Senate race at 60% implied probability for first place, reflecting her strong name recognition from five terms as Boa Vista mayor and consistent polling edge. A late-August Quaest survey showed her at 19-26% for the top seat, ahead of federal deputy Nicoletti (PL) at 17-20% and Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 16-19%, with incumbent Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11%. The October 4 election selects the two highest vote-getters for eight-year terms amid a fragmented field of 13 candidates, where alliances, turnout among undecided voters (often exceeding 60% in spontaneous polls), and regional priorities like infrastructure and public services shape outcomes. Lower odds for remaining contenders align with their limited survey support and narrower bases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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