Recent polling in Paraná shows Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties for the two Senate seats, with high undecided shares and fragmented right-leaning support sustaining close odds for first place. Curi benefits from statewide name recognition as Assembly president and local alliances, while Deltan’s positioning reflects Novo’s base despite ongoing eligibility challenges from prior TSE rulings. Barros draws from PL networks and potential chapa effects, and Gleisi anchors PT strength in specific regions. Traders price the narrow spreads between Curi, Barros, and Deltan as reflecting these competitive dynamics ahead of October voting, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or legal developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlexandre Curi 41%
Filipe Barros 25%
Deltan Dallagnol 22%
Gleisi 12.3%
$27,098 Vol.
$27,098 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
41%
Filipe Barros
25%
Deltan Dallagnol
22%
Gleisi
12%
Karen Guerreiro
4%
Cristina Reis Graeml
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
2%
Dr. Rosinha
2%
Joaquim do MLB
1%
Alexandre Curi 41%
Filipe Barros 25%
Deltan Dallagnol 22%
Gleisi 12.3%
$27,098 Vol.
$27,098 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alexandre Curi
$6,761 Vol.
41%
Filipe Barros
$2,150 Vol.
25%
Deltan Dallagnol
$16,260 Vol.
22%
Gleisi
$511 Vol.
12%
Karen Guerreiro
$341 Vol.
4%
Cristina Reis Graeml
$237 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Marcelino
$406 Vol.
2%
Dr. Rosinha
$200 Vol.
2%
Joaquim do MLB
$231 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraná shows Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties for the two Senate seats, with high undecided shares and fragmented right-leaning support sustaining close odds for first place. Curi benefits from statewide name recognition as Assembly president and local alliances, while Deltan’s positioning reflects Novo’s base despite ongoing eligibility challenges from prior TSE rulings. Barros draws from PL networks and potential chapa effects, and Gleisi anchors PT strength in specific regions. Traders price the narrow spreads between Curi, Barros, and Deltan as reflecting these competitive dynamics ahead of October voting, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or legal developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$27,098End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Paraná shows Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties for the two Senate seats, with high undecided shares and fragmented right-leaning support sustaining close odds for first place. Curi benefits from statewide name recognition as Assembly president and local alliances, while Deltan’s positioning reflects Novo’s base despite ongoing eligibility challenges from prior TSE rulings. Barros draws from PL networks and potential chapa effects, and Gleisi anchors PT strength in specific regions. Traders price the narrow spreads between Curi, Barros, and Deltan as reflecting these competitive dynamics ahead of October voting, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or legal developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraná is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$27,098End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Paraná shows Alexandre Curi (Republicanos), Deltan Dallagnol (Novo), Filipe Barros (PL), and Gleisi Hoffmann (PT) in technical ties for the two Senate seats, with high undecided shares and fragmented right-leaning support sustaining close odds for first place. Curi benefits from statewide name recognition as Assembly president and local alliances, while Deltan’s positioning reflects Novo’s base despite ongoing eligibility challenges from prior TSE rulings. Barros draws from PL networks and potential chapa effects, and Gleisi anchors PT strength in specific regions. Traders price the narrow spreads between Curi, Barros, and Deltan as reflecting these competitive dynamics ahead of October voting, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or legal developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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