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icon for Amapá Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

icon for Amapá Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Governor Election Winner

Dr. Furlan 88%

Clécio Luís 7.6%

Marcos Reategui 4.0%

Jairo Palheta 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Dr. Furlan 88%

Clécio Luís 7.6%

Marcos Reategui 4.0%

Jairo Palheta 3.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Dr. Furlan

Dr. Furlan

$5,947 Vol.

88%

icon for Clécio Luís

Clécio Luís

$318 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcos Reategui

Marcos Reategui

$209 Vol.

4%

icon for Jairo Palheta

Jairo Palheta

$374 Vol.

3%

icon for Carlos Cley

Carlos Cley

$128 Vol.

1%

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87.5% implied probability in this market due to consistent polling leads of 20–35 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) in surveys from June through late August 2026. Furlan’s strong performance as mayor, including a decisive 2024 reelection, and lower rejection ratings underpin his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round. Clécio, seeking reelection after switching to União Brasil with backing from Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, trails at 5.8% amid higher rejection and weaker first-round support. Minor candidates such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui register below 3% in both polls and market pricing, reflecting limited viability in the five-candidate field.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,976
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Dr. Furlan (PSD), the former Macapá mayor, holds an 87.5% implied probability in this market due to consistent polling leads of 20–35 points over incumbent Clécio Luís (União Brasil) in surveys from June through late August 2026. Furlan’s strong performance as mayor, including a decisive 2024 reelection, and lower rejection ratings underpin his frontrunner status ahead of the October 4 first round. Clécio, seeking reelection after switching to União Brasil with backing from Senate President Davi Alcolumbre, trails at 5.8% amid higher rejection and weaker first-round support. Minor candidates such as Carlos Cley, Jairo Palheta, and Marcos Reategui register below 3% in both polls and market pricing, reflecting limited viability in the five-candidate field.

The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Amapá gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$6,976
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Dr. Furlan" at 88%, followed by "Clécio Luís" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amapá Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amapá Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" is "Dr. Furlan" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clécio Luís" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.