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icon for Rondônia Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Rondônia Governor Election Winner

icon for Rondônia Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Rondônia Governor Election Winner

Marcos Rogério 71%

Adailton Furia 16.1%

Hildon Chaves 3.2%

Expedito Netto 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,761 Vol.

Marcos Rogério 71%

Adailton Furia 16.1%

Hildon Chaves 3.2%

Expedito Netto 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,761 Vol.

icon for Marcos Rogério

Marcos Rogério

$6,484 Vol.

71%

icon for Adailton Furia

Adailton Furia

$1,354 Vol.

16%

icon for Hildon Chaves

Hildon Chaves

$789 Vol.

3%

icon for Expedito Netto

Expedito Netto

$772 Vol.

2%

icon for Pedro Abib

Pedro Abib

$926 Vol.

1%

icon for Samuel Costa

Samuel Costa

$436 Vol.

<1%

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads the Rondônia gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages of 24–40% in first-round surveys conducted through late August 2026, reflecting his Senate experience, broad coalition including PL, Podemos, Novo and Mobiliza, and strong name recognition in a state favoring right-leaning candidates. Adailton Fúria (PSD) trails as the main challenger at 15–28%, buoyed by recent municipal executive experience but facing a fragmented opposition field. Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), Pedro Abib (MDB) and Samuel Costa (PSB) register single-digit support amid widespread voter desire for change after incumbent Marcos Rocha’s term limits. The first-round vote on October 4 and possible runoff on October 25 keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts in undecided voters.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,761
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads the Rondônia gubernatorial race with consistent polling advantages of 24–40% in first-round surveys conducted through late August 2026, reflecting his Senate experience, broad coalition including PL, Podemos, Novo and Mobiliza, and strong name recognition in a state favoring right-leaning candidates. Adailton Fúria (PSD) trails as the main challenger at 15–28%, buoyed by recent municipal executive experience but facing a fragmented opposition field. Hildon Chaves (União), Expedito Netto (PT), Pedro Abib (MDB) and Samuel Costa (PSB) register single-digit support amid widespread voter desire for change after incumbent Marcos Rocha’s term limits. The first-round vote on October 4 and possible runoff on October 25 keep the outcome sensitive to turnout and late shifts in undecided voters.

The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,761
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rondônia Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marcos Rogério" at 71%, followed by "Adailton Furia" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rondônia Governor Election Winner" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rondônia Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rondônia Governor Election Winner" is "Marcos Rogério" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adailton Furia" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rondônia Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.