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icon for Goiás Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Governor Election Winner

icon for Goiás Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Daniel Vilela 96.2%

Marconi Perillo 2.4%

Wilder Morais <1%

Adriana Accorsi <1%

Polymarket

$34,967 Vol.

Daniel Vilela 96.2%

Marconi Perillo 2.4%

Wilder Morais <1%

Adriana Accorsi <1%

Polymarket

$34,967 Vol.

icon for Daniel Vilela

Daniel Vilela

$27,603 Vol.

96%

icon for Marconi Perillo

Marconi Perillo

$2,871 Vol.

2%

icon for Wilder Morais

Wilder Morais

$1,743 Vol.

1%

icon for Adriana Accorsi

Adriana Accorsi

$1,358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vanderlan Cardoso

Vanderlan Cardoso

$1,392 Vol.

<1%

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent Goiás governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado's resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 37-46% against fragmented opposition. His broad coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and others, combined with high approval ratings near 75% and low rejection, underpins trader consensus at 96.5% for his victory. Main challengers Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) trail significantly in first-round and runoff scenarios. Factors that could narrow the gap include late voter shifts before the October 25 potential second round, debate performances, or turnout changes among key blocs, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the sitting governor.

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,967
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela (MDB), the incumbent Goiás governor who assumed office in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado's resignation, holds a commanding lead in the October 4 first-round election due to consistent polling dominance, with recent surveys showing him at 37-46% against fragmented opposition. His broad coalition spanning MDB, PSD, Republicanos, and others, combined with high approval ratings near 75% and low rejection, underpins trader consensus at 96.5% for his victory. Main challengers Marconi Perillo (PSDB) and Wilder Morais (PL) trail significantly in first-round and runoff scenarios. Factors that could narrow the gap include late voter shifts before the October 25 potential second round, debate performances, or turnout changes among key blocs, though current evidence points to structural advantages for the sitting governor.

The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,967
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Goiás Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Daniel Vilela" at 96%, followed by "Marconi Perillo" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Goiás Governor Election Winner" has generated $35K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Goiás Governor Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Goiás Governor Election Winner" is "Daniel Vilela" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marconi Perillo" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Goiás Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.