Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding position in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 94%, driven by his 60.87% share in the June 2026 special election and consistent polling leads such as the late-August Quaest survey showing 60% support against Soldado Sampaio at 27%. His profile as former Boa Vista mayor, PL affiliation, and voter preference for established local leadership have consolidated backing ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno register minimal support. Lingering eligibility questions tied to prior desincompatibilização rules could still affect outcomes if courts intervene before the runoff on October 25, though current evidence points to limited immediate risk to his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Farah Mesquita 2.3%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.3%
Farah Mesquita 2.3%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,769 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding position in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 94%, driven by his 60.87% share in the June 2026 special election and consistent polling leads such as the late-August Quaest survey showing 60% support against Soldado Sampaio at 27%. His profile as former Boa Vista mayor, PL affiliation, and voter preference for established local leadership have consolidated backing ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno register minimal support. Lingering eligibility questions tied to prior desincompatibilização rules could still affect outcomes if courts intervene before the runoff on October 25, though current evidence points to limited immediate risk to his frontrunner status.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,614End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding position in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 94%, driven by his 60.87% share in the June 2026 special election and consistent polling leads such as the late-August Quaest survey showing 60% support against Soldado Sampaio at 27%. His profile as former Boa Vista mayor, PL affiliation, and voter preference for established local leadership have consolidated backing ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno register minimal support. Lingering eligibility questions tied to prior desincompatibilização rules could still affect outcomes if courts intervene before the runoff on October 25, though current evidence points to limited immediate risk to his frontrunner status.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,614End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding position in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, reflected in trader pricing near 94%, driven by his 60.87% share in the June 2026 special election and consistent polling leads such as the late-August Quaest survey showing 60% support against Soldado Sampaio at 27%. His profile as former Boa Vista mayor, PL affiliation, and voter preference for established local leadership have consolidated backing ahead of the first-round vote on October 4. Remaining candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno register minimal support. Lingering eligibility questions tied to prior desincompatibilização rules could still affect outcomes if courts intervene before the runoff on October 25, though current evidence points to limited immediate risk to his frontrunner status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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