Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader pricing for the Rondônia governor race due to consistent polling advantages and strong party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent August surveys from Quaest, Veritá, and Phoenix place him between 24% and 41% in the first round, well ahead of Adailton Furia (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and the remaining registered candidates trailing further behind. His candidacy, confirmed at the PL convention in July with vice-governor support from Podemos and alliances including Novo and Mobiliza, benefits from prior Senate tenure, name recognition across the state, and alignment with national PL networks. No major late shifts in voter intention or institutional barriers have altered this positioning in the weeks before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcos Rogério 71%
Adailton Furia 12.9%
Hildon Chaves 3.3%
Expedito Netto 2.1%
$10,761 Vol.
$10,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
71%
Adailton Furia
17%
Hildon Chaves
3%
Expedito Netto
2%
Pedro Abib
1%
Samuel Costa
<1%
Marcos Rogério 71%
Adailton Furia 12.9%
Hildon Chaves 3.3%
Expedito Netto 2.1%
$10,761 Vol.
$10,761 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcos Rogério
$6,484 Vol.
71%
Adailton Furia
$1,354 Vol.
17%
Hildon Chaves
$789 Vol.
3%
Expedito Netto
$772 Vol.
2%
Pedro Abib
$926 Vol.
1%
Samuel Costa
$436 Vol.
<1%
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader pricing for the Rondônia governor race due to consistent polling advantages and strong party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent August surveys from Quaest, Veritá, and Phoenix place him between 24% and 41% in the first round, well ahead of Adailton Furia (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and the remaining registered candidates trailing further behind. His candidacy, confirmed at the PL convention in July with vice-governor support from Podemos and alliances including Novo and Mobiliza, benefits from prior Senate tenure, name recognition across the state, and alignment with national PL networks. No major late shifts in voter intention or institutional barriers have altered this positioning in the weeks before the vote.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$10,761End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader pricing for the Rondônia governor race due to consistent polling advantages and strong party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent August surveys from Quaest, Veritá, and Phoenix place him between 24% and 41% in the first round, well ahead of Adailton Furia (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and the remaining registered candidates trailing further behind. His candidacy, confirmed at the PL convention in July with vice-governor support from Podemos and alliances including Novo and Mobiliza, benefits from prior Senate tenure, name recognition across the state, and alignment with national PL networks. No major late shifts in voter intention or institutional barriers have altered this positioning in the weeks before the vote.
The Rondônia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,761End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marcos Rogério (PL) leads trader pricing for the Rondônia governor race due to consistent polling advantages and strong party infrastructure ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent August surveys from Quaest, Veritá, and Phoenix place him between 24% and 41% in the first round, well ahead of Adailton Furia (PSD) at 19-28%, with Hildon Chaves (União Brasil), Expedito Netto (PT), and the remaining registered candidates trailing further behind. His candidacy, confirmed at the PL convention in July with vice-governor support from Podemos and alliances including Novo and Mobiliza, benefits from prior Senate tenure, name recognition across the state, and alignment with national PL networks. No major late shifts in voter intention or institutional barriers have altered this positioning in the weeks before the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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