Recent polls from late August and early September show a fragmented Senate race in Rio de Janeiro, with Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead around 10-14% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) remain statistically tied in the low-to-mid single digits amid 25-30% undecided voters. The contest for second place stays tight due to the two-vote system, limited name recognition among most contenders, and ongoing right-wing coordination between PL candidates in debates. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have emerged to consolidate support, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCarlos Jordy 36%
Marcelo Crivella 29.0%
Benedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Portinho 6%
$46,141 Vol.
$46,141 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Jordy
36%
Marcelo Crivella
29%
Benedita da Silva
21%
Carlos Portinho
6%
Pedro Paulo
4%
Monica Benicio
3%
Waguinho
1%
Helio Secco
<1%
Ó Clemente
<1%
Marcos Dias
<1%
André Monteiro
<1%
Luciano Mattos
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
<1%
Michelly Xavier
<1%
Paula Falcão
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
<1%
Carlos Jordy 36%
Marcelo Crivella 29.0%
Benedita da Silva 21%
Carlos Portinho 6%
$46,141 Vol.
$46,141 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Carlos Jordy
$9,192 Vol.
36%
Marcelo Crivella
$4,776 Vol.
29%
Benedita da Silva
$8,719 Vol.
21%
Carlos Portinho
$5,210 Vol.
6%
Pedro Paulo
$6,944 Vol.
4%
Monica Benicio
$1,948 Vol.
3%
Waguinho
$1,215 Vol.
1%
Helio Secco
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
Ó Clemente
$1,164 Vol.
<1%
Marcos Dias
$802 Vol.
<1%
André Monteiro
$2,185 Vol.
<1%
Luciano Mattos
$597 Vol.
<1%
Luiz Eugenio
$608 Vol.
<1%
Michelly Xavier
$601 Vol.
<1%
Paula Falcão
$520 Vol.
<1%
Vinicius Benevides
$533 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August and early September show a fragmented Senate race in Rio de Janeiro, with Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead around 10-14% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) remain statistically tied in the low-to-mid single digits amid 25-30% undecided voters. The contest for second place stays tight due to the two-vote system, limited name recognition among most contenders, and ongoing right-wing coordination between PL candidates in debates. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have emerged to consolidate support, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volume
$46,141End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August and early September show a fragmented Senate race in Rio de Janeiro, with Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead around 10-14% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) remain statistically tied in the low-to-mid single digits amid 25-30% undecided voters. The contest for second place stays tight due to the two-vote system, limited name recognition among most contenders, and ongoing right-wing coordination between PL candidates in debates. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have emerged to consolidate support, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,141End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from late August and early September show a fragmented Senate race in Rio de Janeiro, with Benedita da Silva (PT) holding a narrow lead around 10-14% while Carlos Jordy (PL), Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) remain statistically tied in the low-to-mid single digits amid 25-30% undecided voters. The contest for second place stays tight due to the two-vote system, limited name recognition among most contenders, and ongoing right-wing coordination between PL candidates in debates. No major late-breaking endorsements or scandals have emerged to consolidate support, leaving room for shifts from campaign events or turnout patterns before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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