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icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place

Zenaide Maia 34%

Rafael Motta 26.2%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Styvenson Valentim 10.5%

Polymarket

$17,945 Vol.

Zenaide Maia 34%

Rafael Motta 26.2%

Samanda de Lula 19%

Styvenson Valentim 10.5%

Polymarket

$17,945 Vol.

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$2,350 Vol.

34%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$2,300 Vol.

26%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$5,779 Vol.

19%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$1,914 Vol.

11%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$544 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$649 Vol.

1%

icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$600 Vol.

1%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$505 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$550 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$641 Vol.

<1%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$604 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$520 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$479 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$511 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zenaide Maia holds the highest implied probability for second place in Rio Grande do Norte’s Senate race, followed by Rafael Motta, Samanda Alves, and Styvenson Valentim, reflecting consistent polling patterns through late August. Incumbent senators Maia and Valentim benefit from name recognition and established voter bases, while challengers draw support from distinct party coalitions and regional strongholds. Surveys show technical ties or narrow gaps among the top contenders when voters select two names, with high undecided shares and shifting second preferences keeping the field fluid. Recent polls indicate Valentim’s stronger first-choice position, which indirectly elevates competition for the remaining spot among the others. Scheduled October 4 voting and any late campaign developments, such as coalition adjustments or turnout shifts in key municipalities, could alter second-place ordering before resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,945
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Zenaide Maia holds the highest implied probability for second place in Rio Grande do Norte’s Senate race, followed by Rafael Motta, Samanda Alves, and Styvenson Valentim, reflecting consistent polling patterns through late August. Incumbent senators Maia and Valentim benefit from name recognition and established voter bases, while challengers draw support from distinct party coalitions and regional strongholds. Surveys show technical ties or narrow gaps among the top contenders when voters select two names, with high undecided shares and shifting second preferences keeping the field fluid. Recent polls indicate Valentim’s stronger first-choice position, which indirectly elevates competition for the remaining spot among the others. Scheduled October 4 voting and any late campaign developments, such as coalition adjustments or turnout shifts in key municipalities, could alter second-place ordering before resolution.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$17,945
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zenaide Maia" at 34%, followed by "Rafael Motta" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $17.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Zenaide Maia" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rafael Motta" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rio Grande do Norte Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.