Helder Barbalho (MDB) leads the Pará Senate race for first place with strong trader consensus at 70%, reflecting consistent polling dominance in recent surveys. As the outgoing two-term governor and member of a prominent political family, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad MDB-led coalition, and first-choice support reaching 34-38% in Quaest and other late-August measurements. The October 4 election allows voters to select two senators from a fragmented field, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-18% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 7-15% trailing in overall and second-place scenarios. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep the contest for second place fluid among remaining candidates, aligning market pricing with established polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelder 71%
Delegado Éder Mauro 20.7%
Zequinha Marinho 6.1%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.4%
$15,686 Vol.
$15,686 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
71%
Delegado Éder Mauro
21%
Zequinha Marinho
6%
Edlaine Rodrigues
4%
Conti
1%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Chicão
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 71%
Delegado Éder Mauro 20.7%
Zequinha Marinho 6.1%
Edlaine Rodrigues 4.4%
$15,686 Vol.
$15,686 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$10,647 Vol.
71%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$575 Vol.
21%
Zequinha Marinho
$514 Vol.
6%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$545 Vol.
4%
Conti
$496 Vol.
1%
Breno Guimarães
$474 Vol.
1%
Celso Sabino
$444 Vol.
1%
Chicão
$433 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$507 Vol.
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$671 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$381 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) leads the Pará Senate race for first place with strong trader consensus at 70%, reflecting consistent polling dominance in recent surveys. As the outgoing two-term governor and member of a prominent political family, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad MDB-led coalition, and first-choice support reaching 34-38% in Quaest and other late-August measurements. The October 4 election allows voters to select two senators from a fragmented field, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-18% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 7-15% trailing in overall and second-place scenarios. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep the contest for second place fluid among remaining candidates, aligning market pricing with established polling trends.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Volume
$15,686End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Helder Barbalho (MDB) leads the Pará Senate race for first place with strong trader consensus at 70%, reflecting consistent polling dominance in recent surveys. As the outgoing two-term governor and member of a prominent political family, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad MDB-led coalition, and first-choice support reaching 34-38% in Quaest and other late-August measurements. The October 4 election allows voters to select two senators from a fragmented field, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-18% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 7-15% trailing in overall and second-place scenarios. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep the contest for second place fluid among remaining candidates, aligning market pricing with established polling trends.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,686End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Helder Barbalho (MDB) leads the Pará Senate race for first place with strong trader consensus at 70%, reflecting consistent polling dominance in recent surveys. As the outgoing two-term governor and member of a prominent political family, he benefits from high name recognition, a broad MDB-led coalition, and first-choice support reaching 34-38% in Quaest and other late-August measurements. The October 4 election allows voters to select two senators from a fragmented field, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) at 14-18% and Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) at 7-15% trailing in overall and second-place scenarios. High undecided shares and the dual-vote system keep the contest for second place fluid among remaining candidates, aligning market pricing with established polling trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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