Cid Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent leads or technical ties in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, where he registers 23-24% support amid a two-vote system that rewards broad second preferences. Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain close behind in the 17-20% range, reflecting competitive name recognition and regional bases, while lower-polling names like Alcides Fernandes trail further. The tight contest stems from high undecided and blank votes, shifting voter priorities between first and second choices, and established rejection levels for frontrunners. Late-campaign events such as debates, endorsements, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 22%
Luizianne 22%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,053 Vol.
$11,053 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
59%
Capitão Wagner
22%
Luizianne
22%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Cid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 22%
Luizianne 22%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,053 Vol.
$11,053 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$8,249 Vol.
59%
Capitão Wagner
$662 Vol.
22%
Luizianne
$537 Vol.
22%
Alcides Fernandes
$365 Vol.
1%
Reginaldo
$278 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$352 Vol.
<1%
Lino Alves
$329 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$280 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent leads or technical ties in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, where he registers 23-24% support amid a two-vote system that rewards broad second preferences. Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain close behind in the 17-20% range, reflecting competitive name recognition and regional bases, while lower-polling names like Alcides Fernandes trail further. The tight contest stems from high undecided and blank votes, shifting voter priorities between first and second choices, and established rejection levels for frontrunners. Late-campaign events such as debates, endorsements, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,053End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent leads or technical ties in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, where he registers 23-24% support amid a two-vote system that rewards broad second preferences. Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain close behind in the 17-20% range, reflecting competitive name recognition and regional bases, while lower-polling names like Alcides Fernandes trail further. The tight contest stems from high undecided and blank votes, shifting voter priorities between first and second choices, and established rejection levels for frontrunners. Late-campaign events such as debates, endorsements, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,053End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes holds the strongest position in the Ceará Senate race for first place, backed by consistent leads or technical ties in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel, where he registers 23-24% support amid a two-vote system that rewards broad second preferences. Capitão Wagner and Luizianne Lins remain close behind in the 17-20% range, reflecting competitive name recognition and regional bases, while lower-polling names like Alcides Fernandes trail further. The tight contest stems from high undecided and blank votes, shifting voter priorities between first and second choices, and established rejection levels for frontrunners. Late-campaign events such as debates, endorsements, or turnout shifts in key municipalities could widen gaps before the October election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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