Recent polls for Ceará’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators, show Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a narrow lead at 23-24 percent, followed closely by Capitão Wagner (União) at 20-22 percent and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17 percent. The second-place outcome remains tightly contested within margins of error because of substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 30 percent combined), shifting voter preferences between the top three, and overlapping coalitions. Latest Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August to early September confirm these technical ties persist, with no decisive late-campaign movement yet separating the contenders for the remaining seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLuizianne 45%
Capitão Wagner 33%
Cid Gomes 19%
Alcides Fernandes 4.0%
$35,895 Vol.
$35,895 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
45%
Capitão Wagner
33%
Cid Gomes
19%
Alcides Fernandes
4%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Luizianne 45%
Capitão Wagner 33%
Cid Gomes 19%
Alcides Fernandes 4.0%
$35,895 Vol.
$35,895 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Luizianne
$11,581 Vol.
45%
Capitão Wagner
$13,980 Vol.
33%
Cid Gomes
$4,708 Vol.
19%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
4%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Ceará’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators, show Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a narrow lead at 23-24 percent, followed closely by Capitão Wagner (União) at 20-22 percent and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17 percent. The second-place outcome remains tightly contested within margins of error because of substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 30 percent combined), shifting voter preferences between the top three, and overlapping coalitions. Latest Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August to early September confirm these technical ties persist, with no decisive late-campaign movement yet separating the contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$35,895End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Ceará’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators, show Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a narrow lead at 23-24 percent, followed closely by Capitão Wagner (União) at 20-22 percent and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17 percent. The second-place outcome remains tightly contested within margins of error because of substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 30 percent combined), shifting voter preferences between the top three, and overlapping coalitions. Latest Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August to early September confirm these technical ties persist, with no decisive late-campaign movement yet separating the contenders for the remaining seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,895End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Ceará’s October 4 Senate contest, where voters select two senators, show Cid Gomes (PSB) holding a narrow lead at 23-24 percent, followed closely by Capitão Wagner (União) at 20-22 percent and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-17 percent. The second-place outcome remains tightly contested within margins of error because of substantial undecided and blank/null shares (often 30 percent combined), shifting voter preferences between the top three, and overlapping coalitions. Latest Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August to early September confirm these technical ties persist, with no decisive late-campaign movement yet separating the contenders for the remaining seat.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions