Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, reflecting consistent polling advantages and stronger name recognition as the incumbent aligned with the state and federal governments. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August and early September show him at 23–24% of combined first- and second-place intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) at 20–22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13–17%, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus notable rejection levels for the frontrunners, sustain volatility in a race where voters select two senators. Official candidacies were confirmed after July conventions, and ongoing campaign activity tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest continues to shape positioning ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 27%
Luizianne 17%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
59%
Capitão Wagner
27%
Luizianne
17%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Cid Gomes 59%
Capitão Wagner 27%
Luizianne 17%
Alcides Fernandes 1.3%
$11,427 Vol.
$11,427 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$8,295 Vol.
59%
Capitão Wagner
$714 Vol.
27%
Luizianne
$583 Vol.
17%
Alcides Fernandes
$411 Vol.
1%
Reginaldo
$324 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$398 Vol.
<1%
Lino Alves
$375 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$325 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, reflecting consistent polling advantages and stronger name recognition as the incumbent aligned with the state and federal governments. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August and early September show him at 23–24% of combined first- and second-place intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) at 20–22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13–17%, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus notable rejection levels for the frontrunners, sustain volatility in a race where voters select two senators. Official candidacies were confirmed after July conventions, and ongoing campaign activity tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest continues to shape positioning ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,427End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, reflecting consistent polling advantages and stronger name recognition as the incumbent aligned with the state and federal governments. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August and early September show him at 23–24% of combined first- and second-place intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) at 20–22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13–17%, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus notable rejection levels for the frontrunners, sustain volatility in a race where voters select two senators. Official candidacies were confirmed after July conventions, and ongoing campaign activity tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest continues to shape positioning ahead of election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$11,427End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB) holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place in Ceará’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest, reflecting consistent polling advantages and stronger name recognition as the incumbent aligned with the state and federal governments. Recent Datafolha and Quaest surveys from late August and early September show him at 23–24% of combined first- and second-place intentions, ahead of Capitão Wagner (União) at 20–22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13–17%, with Alcides Fernandes (PL) further back. High undecided and blank/null shares, plus notable rejection levels for the frontrunners, sustain volatility in a race where voters select two senators. Official candidacies were confirmed after July conventions, and ongoing campaign activity tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest continues to shape positioning ahead of election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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