Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. As former governor and ex-Casa Civil minister, he benefits from high name recognition and the established PT organizational base in the state, where voters select two senators on October 4. Jaques Wagner (PT), seeking reelection, trails as the second-favored option in the same surveys but remains well behind in first-preference metrics. Opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register lower support in the mid-teens or below, reflecting fragmented non-PT voting. Minor candidates show negligible traction. These patterns have held steady through late August and early September surveys, with limited movement from recent campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRui Costa 74%
Jaques Wagner 14.5%
João Roma 5.3%
Angelo Coronel 2.9%
$26,321 Vol.
$26,321 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
74%
Jaques Wagner
14%
João Roma
5%
Angelo Coronel
3%
Professora Delliana
<1%
Carlos Sodré
<1%
Gregorio Gould
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
<1%
Marcelo Millet
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
<1%
Rui Costa 74%
Jaques Wagner 14.5%
João Roma 5.3%
Angelo Coronel 2.9%
$26,321 Vol.
$26,321 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rui Costa
$11,507 Vol.
74%
Jaques Wagner
$5,732 Vol.
14%
João Roma
$2,802 Vol.
5%
Angelo Coronel
$1,835 Vol.
3%
Professora Delliana
$629 Vol.
<1%
Carlos Sodré
$800 Vol.
<1%
Gregorio Gould
$691 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$741 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Millet
$810 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Santtana
$775 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. As former governor and ex-Casa Civil minister, he benefits from high name recognition and the established PT organizational base in the state, where voters select two senators on October 4. Jaques Wagner (PT), seeking reelection, trails as the second-favored option in the same surveys but remains well behind in first-preference metrics. Opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register lower support in the mid-teens or below, reflecting fragmented non-PT voting. Minor candidates show negligible traction. These patterns have held steady through late August and early September surveys, with limited movement from recent campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Volume
$26,321End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. As former governor and ex-Casa Civil minister, he benefits from high name recognition and the established PT organizational base in the state, where voters select two senators on October 4. Jaques Wagner (PT), seeking reelection, trails as the second-favored option in the same surveys but remains well behind in first-preference metrics. Opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register lower support in the mid-teens or below, reflecting fragmented non-PT voting. Minor candidates show negligible traction. These patterns have held steady through late August and early September surveys, with limited movement from recent campaign developments.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$26,321End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Rui Costa (PT) holds the strongest trader consensus for first place in the Bahia Senate race due to consistent leads in recent polling aggregates from institutes including AtlasIntel, Quaest, and Paraná Pesquisas. As former governor and ex-Casa Civil minister, he benefits from high name recognition and the established PT organizational base in the state, where voters select two senators on October 4. Jaques Wagner (PT), seeking reelection, trails as the second-favored option in the same surveys but remains well behind in first-preference metrics. Opposition figures such as João Roma (PL) and Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) register lower support in the mid-teens or below, reflecting fragmented non-PT voting. Minor candidates show negligible traction. These patterns have held steady through late August and early September surveys, with limited movement from recent campaign developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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