Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one seat, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) holds a narrow edge in the fight for second place ahead of Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Alberto Neto priced highest for second amid high undecided shares and overlapping support in stimulated scenarios that combine first and second preferences. Regional splits—Alberto Neto stronger in Manaus and Valério or Lima competitive in the interior—along with elevated rejection for some contenders and ongoing campaign events keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in alliances, turnout, or additional surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the top challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Alberto Neto 52%
Eduardo Braga 19.7%
Wilson Lima 13.4%
Plinio Valério 3.9%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
52%
Eduardo Braga
20%
Wilson Lima
13%
Plinio Valério
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Capitão Alberto Neto 52%
Eduardo Braga 19.7%
Wilson Lima 13.4%
Plinio Valério 3.9%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,162 Vol.
52%
Eduardo Braga
$2,874 Vol.
20%
Wilson Lima
$3,748 Vol.
13%
Plinio Valério
$610 Vol.
4%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$734 Vol.
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$474 Vol.
<1%
Professora Evany
$746 Vol.
<1%
Dailson Corrêa
$472 Vol.
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$462 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one seat, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) holds a narrow edge in the fight for second place ahead of Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Alberto Neto priced highest for second amid high undecided shares and overlapping support in stimulated scenarios that combine first and second preferences. Regional splits—Alberto Neto stronger in Manaus and Valério or Lima competitive in the interior—along with elevated rejection for some contenders and ongoing campaign events keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in alliances, turnout, or additional surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the top challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET
Volume
$16,284End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one seat, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) holds a narrow edge in the fight for second place ahead of Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Alberto Neto priced highest for second amid high undecided shares and overlapping support in stimulated scenarios that combine first and second preferences. Regional splits—Alberto Neto stronger in Manaus and Valério or Lima competitive in the interior—along with elevated rejection for some contenders and ongoing campaign events keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in alliances, turnout, or additional surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the top challengers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$16,284End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in the Amazonas Senate race shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one seat, while Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) holds a narrow edge in the fight for second place ahead of Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and lower-polling names. Trader consensus reflects this positioning, with Alberto Neto priced highest for second amid high undecided shares and overlapping support in stimulated scenarios that combine first and second preferences. Regional splits—Alberto Neto stronger in Manaus and Valério or Lima competitive in the interior—along with elevated rejection for some contenders and ongoing campaign events keep the outcome fluid ahead of the October 4 vote. Late shifts in alliances, turnout, or additional surveys could widen or narrow gaps among the top challengers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions