Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place between incumbents Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues. Late August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest indicate Barreto and Randolfe remain closely matched in second-vote scenarios, with Barreto holding a modest edge in some estimates while Randolfe performs comparably among certain voter segments. Scheduled television and radio interviews through early September, along with ongoing campaign alliances and local economic priorities, continue to shape preferences in the final month before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Randolfe 40%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Rayssa Furlan 13.9%
Alliny Serrão 9%
$15,892 Vol.
$15,892 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
40%
Lucas Barreto
40%
Rayssa Furlan
14%
Alliny Serrão
9%
Juíza Jô
6%
Capi
4%
Acácio Favacho
2%
Helio Silva
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
1%
Randolfe 40%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Rayssa Furlan 13.9%
Alliny Serrão 9%
$15,892 Vol.
$15,892 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
$8,730 Vol.
40%
Lucas Barreto
$3,162 Vol.
40%
Rayssa Furlan
$252 Vol.
14%
Alliny Serrão
$597 Vol.
9%
Juíza Jô
$154 Vol.
6%
Capi
$207 Vol.
4%
Acácio Favacho
$482 Vol.
2%
Helio Silva
$1,816 Vol.
2%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$493 Vol.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place between incumbents Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues. Late August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest indicate Barreto and Randolfe remain closely matched in second-vote scenarios, with Barreto holding a modest edge in some estimates while Randolfe performs comparably among certain voter segments. Scheduled television and radio interviews through early September, along with ongoing campaign alliances and local economic priorities, continue to shape preferences in the final month before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$15,892End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place between incumbents Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues. Late August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest indicate Barreto and Randolfe remain closely matched in second-vote scenarios, with Barreto holding a modest edge in some estimates while Randolfe performs comparably among certain voter segments. Scheduled television and radio interviews through early September, along with ongoing campaign alliances and local economic priorities, continue to shape preferences in the final month before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,892End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat, leaving the contest for second place between incumbents Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues. Late August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest indicate Barreto and Randolfe remain closely matched in second-vote scenarios, with Barreto holding a modest edge in some estimates while Randolfe performs comparably among certain voter segments. Scheduled television and radio interviews through early September, along with ongoing campaign alliances and local economic priorities, continue to shape preferences in the final month before the October 4 vote. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with limited separation expected absent major shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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