Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

Rayssa Furlan 81%

Randolfe 7.3%

Lucas Barreto 4.9%

Alliny Serrão <1%

Polymarket

$32,840 Vol.

Rayssa Furlan 81%

Randolfe 7.3%

Lucas Barreto 4.9%

Alliny Serrão <1%

Polymarket

$32,840 Vol.

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$24,784 Vol.

81%

icon for Randolfe

Randolfe

$1,387 Vol.

7%

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$1,386 Vol.

5%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$1,207 Vol.

1%

icon for Acácio Favacho

Acácio Favacho

$879 Vol.

<1%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$547 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$952 Vol.

<1%

icon for Professor Uzian Pinto

Professor Uzian Pinto

$947 Vol.

<1%

icon for Capi

Capi

$751 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (PODE) leads Amapá’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages and a PSD alliance that pairs her candidacy with Lucas Barreto and gubernatorial nominee Antônio Furlan. Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas in late August, placed her well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Barreto, with other registered candidates such as Alliny Serrão (UNIÃO) and Acácio Favacho (MDB) trailing further behind. Scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate provide additional visibility, while voter choice of up to two names and high undecided shares in some polls sustain the competitive margin for second place. Trader consensus reflects these patterns in first-place positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,840
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rayssa Furlan (PODE) leads Amapá’s October 4, 2026, Senate contest for first place, backed by consistent polling advantages and a PSD alliance that pairs her candidacy with Lucas Barreto and gubernatorial nominee Antônio Furlan. Recent surveys, including Paraná Pesquisas in late August, placed her well ahead of incumbents Randolfe Rodrigues (PT) and Barreto, with other registered candidates such as Alliny Serrão (UNIÃO) and Acácio Favacho (MDB) trailing further behind. Scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate provide additional visibility, while voter choice of up to two names and high undecided shares in some polls sustain the competitive margin for second place. Trader consensus reflects these patterns in first-place positioning.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$32,840
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?

Will Randolfe win the second-most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?

40%
icon for Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

43%
icon for Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?

71%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rayssa Furlan" at 81%, followed by "Randolfe" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place" has generated $32.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Rayssa Furlan" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Randolfe" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.