Recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Amapá, leaving Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues in a close contest for second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest place Barreto and Randolfe within a few points of each other when voters select two names, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and others. Both incumbents benefit from established name recognition and party structures in the small electorate, while scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate offer opportunities to shift preferences. Trader prices reflect this narrow gap, with limited movement tied to steady polling trends and the absence of major late developments that would favor one over the other.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Randolfe 40%
Lucas Barreto 39%
Alliny Serrão 10%
Rayssa Furlan 7.6%
$15,872 Vol.
$15,872 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
40%
Lucas Barreto
39%
Alliny Serrão
10%
Rayssa Furlan
8%
Juíza Jô
6%
Capi
4%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Professor Uzian Pinto
3%
Helio Silva
2%
Randolfe 40%
Lucas Barreto 39%
Alliny Serrão 10%
Rayssa Furlan 7.6%
$15,872 Vol.
$15,872 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
$8,710 Vol.
40%
Lucas Barreto
$3,162 Vol.
39%
Alliny Serrão
$597 Vol.
10%
Rayssa Furlan
$252 Vol.
8%
Juíza Jô
$154 Vol.
6%
Capi
$207 Vol.
4%
Acácio Favacho
$482 Vol.
3%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$493 Vol.
3%
Helio Silva
$1,816 Vol.
2%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Amapá, leaving Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues in a close contest for second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest place Barreto and Randolfe within a few points of each other when voters select two names, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and others. Both incumbents benefit from established name recognition and party structures in the small electorate, while scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate offer opportunities to shift preferences. Trader prices reflect this narrow gap, with limited movement tied to steady polling trends and the absence of major late developments that would favor one over the other.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Volume
$15,872End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Amapá, leaving Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues in a close contest for second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest place Barreto and Randolfe within a few points of each other when voters select two names, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and others. Both incumbents benefit from established name recognition and party structures in the small electorate, while scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate offer opportunities to shift preferences. Trader prices reflect this narrow gap, with limited movement tied to steady polling trends and the absence of major late developments that would favor one over the other.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,872End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Rayssa Furlan holding a clear lead for one Senate seat in Amapá, leaving Lucas Barreto and Randolfe Rodrigues in a close contest for second place ahead of the October 4 vote. Late-August surveys from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest place Barreto and Randolfe within a few points of each other when voters select two names, with smaller shares for Alliny Serrão, Acácio Favacho, and others. Both incumbents benefit from established name recognition and party structures in the small electorate, while scheduled media interviews and a September 25 debate offer opportunities to shift preferences. Trader prices reflect this narrow gap, with limited movement tied to steady polling trends and the absence of major late developments that would favor one over the other.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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