**The Pará Senate race features voters selecting two senators on October 4, with Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading first-place intentions in recent Quaest and Atlas polling.** The contest for second place remains fragmented and competitive, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holding a narrow edge in trader pricing and most surveys, followed closely by Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT). Late-August Quaest data showed Mauro at 14% overall versus Marinho at 11% and Sabino at 7%, while Atlas placed Mauro ahead of Marinho and Sabino in the low-to-mid teens for consolidated votes. High undecided shares (around 20-25%) and a broad field of candidates keep second-place probabilities tightly bunched, with no dominant late surge or consolidation yet evident among the trailing contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado Éder Mauro 45%
Zequinha Marinho 26%
Celso Sabino 21%
Helder 6.0%
$23,821 Vol.
$23,821 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
45%
Zequinha Marinho
26%
Celso Sabino
21%
Helder
6%
Fernanda Lopes
3%
Chicão
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Conti
1%
Gizelle Freitas
1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Breno Guimarães
<1%
Delegado Éder Mauro 45%
Zequinha Marinho 26%
Celso Sabino 21%
Helder 6.0%
$23,821 Vol.
$23,821 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado Éder Mauro
$13,106 Vol.
45%
Zequinha Marinho
$6,732 Vol.
26%
Celso Sabino
$480 Vol.
21%
Helder
$1,525 Vol.
6%
Fernanda Lopes
$208 Vol.
3%
Chicão
$235 Vol.
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$551 Vol.
2%
Conti
$272 Vol.
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$261 Vol.
1%
Willem da Silva
$211 Vol.
<1%
Breno Guimarães
$240 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Pará Senate race features voters selecting two senators on October 4, with Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading first-place intentions in recent Quaest and Atlas polling.** The contest for second place remains fragmented and competitive, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holding a narrow edge in trader pricing and most surveys, followed closely by Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT). Late-August Quaest data showed Mauro at 14% overall versus Marinho at 11% and Sabino at 7%, while Atlas placed Mauro ahead of Marinho and Sabino in the low-to-mid teens for consolidated votes. High undecided shares (around 20-25%) and a broad field of candidates keep second-place probabilities tightly bunched, with no dominant late surge or consolidation yet evident among the trailing contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Volume
$23,821End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**The Pará Senate race features voters selecting two senators on October 4, with Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading first-place intentions in recent Quaest and Atlas polling.** The contest for second place remains fragmented and competitive, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holding a narrow edge in trader pricing and most surveys, followed closely by Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT). Late-August Quaest data showed Mauro at 14% overall versus Marinho at 11% and Sabino at 7%, while Atlas placed Mauro ahead of Marinho and Sabino in the low-to-mid teens for consolidated votes. High undecided shares (around 20-25%) and a broad field of candidates keep second-place probabilities tightly bunched, with no dominant late surge or consolidation yet evident among the trailing contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,821End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Pará Senate race features voters selecting two senators on October 4, with Helder Barbalho (MDB) consistently leading first-place intentions in recent Quaest and Atlas polling.** The contest for second place remains fragmented and competitive, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) holding a narrow edge in trader pricing and most surveys, followed closely by Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) and Celso Sabino (PDT). Late-August Quaest data showed Mauro at 14% overall versus Marinho at 11% and Sabino at 7%, while Atlas placed Mauro ahead of Marinho and Sabino in the low-to-mid teens for consolidated votes. High undecided shares (around 20-25%) and a broad field of candidates keep second-place probabilities tightly bunched, with no dominant late surge or consolidation yet evident among the trailing contenders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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