Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats at 23-24%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a tight contest for second place amid 17-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, combined with regional variations between Fortaleza and the interior, sustains the narrow gap between Wagner and Lins, while Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. Official campaign launch, rejection levels, and second-preference flows tracked in recent surveys remain key variables that could widen separation before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCapitão Wagner 37%
Luizianne 37%
Cid Gomes 26%
Alcides Fernandes 4.8%
$35,774 Vol.
$35,774 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
35%
Luizianne
37%
Cid Gomes
26%
Alcides Fernandes
5%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Capitão Wagner 37%
Luizianne 37%
Cid Gomes 26%
Alcides Fernandes 4.8%
$35,774 Vol.
$35,774 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$13,980 Vol.
35%
Luizianne
$11,460 Vol.
37%
Cid Gomes
$4,708 Vol.
26%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,095 Vol.
5%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$820 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats at 23-24%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a tight contest for second place amid 17-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, combined with regional variations between Fortaleza and the interior, sustains the narrow gap between Wagner and Lins, while Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. Official campaign launch, rejection levels, and second-preference flows tracked in recent surveys remain key variables that could widen separation before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$35,774End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats at 23-24%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a tight contest for second place amid 17-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, combined with regional variations between Fortaleza and the interior, sustains the narrow gap between Wagner and Lins, while Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. Official campaign launch, rejection levels, and second-preference flows tracked in recent surveys remain key variables that could widen separation before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,774End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows Cid Gomes (PSB) leading consolidated intentions for Ceará’s two Senate seats at 23-24%, positioning Capitão Wagner (União) and Luizianne Lins (Rede) in a tight contest for second place amid 17-25% undecided or blank responses. Voter ability to select two names, combined with regional variations between Fortaleza and the interior, sustains the narrow gap between Wagner and Lins, while Alcides Fernandes (PL) trails further back. Official campaign launch, rejection levels, and second-preference flows tracked in recent surveys remain key variables that could widen separation before the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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