Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent polls from late August showing them separated by just one to eight points in first-round scenarios. The incumbent governor benefits from name recognition and a base among PT voters, while the former Salvador mayor draws support from opposition-leaning segments seeking an alternative. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided or swing voters, and the race's structure—with minor candidates polling near zero—points to a likely runoff on October 25 if neither secures an absolute majority on October 4. Trader pricing reflects this balance, consistent with polling averages that have fluctuated within margins of error amid ongoing campaign activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJerônimo Rodrigues 49%
ACM Neto 46%
João Roma <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$137,294 Vol.
$137,294 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
49%
ACM Neto
46%
João Roma
<1%
Kleber Rosa
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
<1%
Rui Costa
<1%
Jerônimo Rodrigues 49%
ACM Neto 46%
João Roma <1%
Kleber Rosa <1%
$137,294 Vol.
$137,294 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$44,452 Vol.
49%
ACM Neto
$50,718 Vol.
46%
João Roma
$5,186 Vol.
<1%
Kleber Rosa
$13,880 Vol.
<1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5,325 Vol.
<1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11,986 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa
$5,747 Vol.
<1%
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent polls from late August showing them separated by just one to eight points in first-round scenarios. The incumbent governor benefits from name recognition and a base among PT voters, while the former Salvador mayor draws support from opposition-leaning segments seeking an alternative. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided or swing voters, and the race's structure—with minor candidates polling near zero—points to a likely runoff on October 25 if neither secures an absolute majority on October 4. Trader pricing reflects this balance, consistent with polling averages that have fluctuated within margins of error amid ongoing campaign activity.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volume
$137,294End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent polls from late August showing them separated by just one to eight points in first-round scenarios. The incumbent governor benefits from name recognition and a base among PT voters, while the former Salvador mayor draws support from opposition-leaning segments seeking an alternative. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided or swing voters, and the race's structure—with minor candidates polling near zero—points to a likely runoff on October 25 if neither secures an absolute majority on October 4. Trader pricing reflects this balance, consistent with polling averages that have fluctuated within margins of error amid ongoing campaign activity.
The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$137,294End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) remain locked in a tight contest for the Bahia governorship, with recent polls from late August showing them separated by just one to eight points in first-round scenarios. The incumbent governor benefits from name recognition and a base among PT voters, while the former Salvador mayor draws support from opposition-leaning segments seeking an alternative. Multiple surveys indicate substantial undecided or swing voters, and the race's structure—with minor candidates polling near zero—points to a likely runoff on October 25 if neither secures an absolute majority on October 4. Trader pricing reflects this balance, consistent with polling averages that have fluctuated within margins of error amid ongoing campaign activity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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